Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Gresford host Porthmadog in the Cymru North. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Gresford have averaged 1.33 scored and 2.24 conceded recently, against Porthmadog's 1.54 scored and 1.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Gresford slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2024, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 2.25, favoring Porthmadog. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Porthmadog come out ahead of Gresford on wins alone.
- Model gives Porthmadog a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gresford | Porthmadog |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.24 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Porthmadog let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Attacking prowess: Gresford scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Gresford stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Gresford
(Home)Porthmadog
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26:6 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18:3 | 22 |
| 3 | Mold Alexandra | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Porthmadog | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Bala | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Bangor 1876 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 22:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | 9 |
| 12 | Ruthin Town | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | 8 |
| 13 | Denbigh | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18:23 | 7 |
| 14 | Holyhead | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 15 | Gresford | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:30 | 1 |
