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Gresik vs Persela Lamongan

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Sradion Gelora Joko Samudro, Gresik
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Wilkson
Assist: Kurniawan D.
25'
Adiatama Y.
41' Event
Supriyanto J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2024/2025 game between Gresik and Persela Lamongan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gresik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Gresik
35%
Draws
41%
Persela Lamongan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Persela Lamongan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Persela Lamongan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 24% — that's where the model lands on Gresik taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gresik Clean Sheet 20%
Persela Lamongan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gresik Persela Lamongan
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Championship
Gresik vs Persela Lamongan
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Gresik
3:1
Dec 6, 2023 Championship
Gresik vs Persela Lamongan
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Gresik
1:0
Nov 27, 2022 Championship
Gresik vs Persela Lamongan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gresik Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilkson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kurniawan D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Persela Lamongan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresik 49 / 100
Persela Lamongan 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresik Persela Lamongan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gresik scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Persela Lamongan conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Gresik has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Persela Lamongan
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresik

(Home)
21 Feb
Persibo Bojonegoro
0 : 0
Gresik
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0
Gresik
09 Feb
Gresik
2 : 2
Persekat Tegal
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

Persela Lamongan

(Away)
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1
Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
Persela Lamongan
2 : 0
Persis Solo
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0
PSPS Riau
03 May
Tornado Pekanbaru
5 : 0
Persela Lamongan
25 Apr
Persela Lamongan
1 : 1
PS Barito Putera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiraja Aceh 16 10 4 2 33:17 34
2 PSKC Cimahi 16 8 3 5 19:15 27
3 PSPS Riau 16 7 6 3 27:19 27
4 PSMS Medan 16 7 5 4 23:13 26
5 Bekasi City 16 7 4 5 23:18 25
6 Persikota Tangerang 16 6 2 8 23:24 20
7 Dejan 16 5 5 6 17:23 20
8 Sriwijaya 16 3 5 8 19:23 14
9 Persikabo 1973 16 1 2 13 15:47 5
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 16 9 6 1 27:7 33
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 16 8 5 3 28:7 29
3 Persijap Jepara 16 7 7 2 20:9 28
4 Isenmulang Kalteng 16 7 4 5 20:14 25
5 Nusantara 16 4 7 5 14:21 19
6 Persekat Tegal 16 5 3 8 17:21 18
7 Persipa Pati 16 4 6 6 11:16 18
8 Persiku Kudus 16 3 7 6 8:15 16
9 Persikas Subang 16 2 1 13 10:45 7
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 14 7 5 2 23:13 26
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 14 6 7 1 22:11 25
3 Persipura Jayapura 14 7 2 5 25:14 23
4 Persibo Bojonegoro 14 7 2 5 25:17 23
5 Persipal BU 14 6 4 4 18:18 22
6 Gresik 14 6 3 5 18:16 21
7 RANS Nusantara 14 2 3 9 9:36 9
8 Persewar Waropen 14 1 2 11 16:31 -4
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)