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Gresik vs Persewar Waropen

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Sradion Gelora Joko Samudro, Gresik
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Onna J.
45' Event
Wilkson
56'
Sub
Wilkson In: Firmansyah A.
Out: Wilkson

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2024/2025 game between Gresik and Persewar Waropen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gresik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Gresik
35%
Draws
16%
Persewar Waropen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gresik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Persewar Waropen haven't matched Gresik's recent run of results.
  • Gresik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Gresik Clean Sheet 68%
Persewar Waropen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gresik Persewar Waropen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Championship
Gresik vs Persewar Waropen
2:1
Feb 4, 2025 Championship
Persewar Waropen vs Gresik
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Championship
Persewar Waropen vs Gresik
1:1
Oct 11, 2024 Championship
Gresik vs Persewar Waropen
1:0
Jan 22, 2024 Championship
Persewar Waropen vs Gresik
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gresik Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilkson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muzakkar K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Persewar Waropen Compare

Top Goalscorer Wanena J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresik 95 / 100
Persewar Waropen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresik Persewar Waropen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Persewar Waropen conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Gresik's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gresik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Persewar Waropen's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gresik VS Persewar Waropen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresik

(Home)
21 Feb
Persibo Bojonegoro
0 : 0
Gresik
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0
Gresik
09 Feb
Gresik
2 : 2
Persekat Tegal
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

Persewar Waropen

(Away)
25 Feb
Persewar Waropen
2 : 6
Persibo Bojonegoro
20 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Persiku Kudus
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persekat Tegal
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSMS Medan 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
2 Sriwijaya 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
3 Nusantara 6 2 1 3 6:12 7
4 Persikota Tangerang 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isenmulang Kalteng 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Bekasi City 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
3 Dejan 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Persikabo 1973 6 0 1 5 8:17 1
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiku Kudus 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
2 Persekat Tegal 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
3 Persibo Bojonegoro 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
4 Gresik 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
5 Persewar Waropen 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikas Subang 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
2 Persipal BU 8 5 0 3 10:5 15
3 Persipura Jayapura 8 4 2 2 18:6 14
4 Persipa Pati 8 2 3 3 9:7 9
5 RANS Nusantara 8 0 2 6 3:25 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)