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Gresik vs Persibo Bojonegoro

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Sradion Gelora Joko Samudro, Gresik
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Maulana A.
46'
Sub
Renan S. In: Firmansyah A.
Out: Renan S.
46'
Irfana R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2024/2025 game between Gresik and Persibo Bojonegoro finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gresik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Gresik
35%
Draws
35%
Persibo Bojonegoro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Persibo Bojonegoro haven't matched Gresik's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Gresik Clean Sheet 68%
Persibo Bojonegoro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gresik Persibo Bojonegoro
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2025 Championship
Persibo Bojonegoro vs Gresik
0:0
Jan 28, 2025 Championship
Gresik vs Persibo Bojonegoro
4:2
Nov 15, 2024 Championship
Gresik vs Persibo Bojonegoro
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 Championship
Persibo Bojonegoro vs Gresik
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gresik Compare

Top Goalscorer Firmansyah A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wilkson
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Persibo Bojonegoro Compare

Top Goalscorer Maulana A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dutra O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresik 41 / 100
Persibo Bojonegoro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresik Persibo Bojonegoro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gresik's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Persibo Bojonegoro conceded in 70% of 23 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Gresik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gresik VS Persibo Bojonegoro
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresik

(Home)
21 Feb
Persibo Bojonegoro
0 : 0
Gresik
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0
Gresik
09 Feb
Gresik
2 : 2
Persekat Tegal
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

Persibo Bojonegoro

(Away)
28 Feb
Persipura Jayapura
2 : 1
Persibo Bojonegoro
25 Feb
Persewar Waropen
2 : 6
Persibo Bojonegoro
21 Feb
Persibo Bojonegoro
0 : 0
Gresik
17 Feb
Persibo Bojonegoro
2 : 1
Persekat Tegal
09 Feb
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0
Persibo Bojonegoro
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSMS Medan 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
2 Sriwijaya 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
3 Nusantara 6 2 1 3 6:12 7
4 Persikota Tangerang 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isenmulang Kalteng 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Bekasi City 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
3 Dejan 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Persikabo 1973 6 0 1 5 8:17 1
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiku Kudus 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
2 Persekat Tegal 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
3 Persibo Bojonegoro 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
4 Gresik 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
5 Persewar Waropen 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikas Subang 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
2 Persipal BU 8 5 0 3 10:5 15
3 Persipura Jayapura 8 4 2 2 18:6 14
4 Persipa Pati 8 2 3 3 9:7 9
5 RANS Nusantara 8 0 2 6 3:25 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)