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Gresik vs Persipal BU

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Sradion Gelora Joko Samudro, Gresik
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Adri M.
16'
Fariansyah A.
18' Event
Renan S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2024/2025 game between Gresik and Persipal BU finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gresik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Gresik
30%
Draws
0%
Persipal BU
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gresik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Gresik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gresik's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gresik Clean Sheet 68%
Persipal BU Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gresik Persipal BU
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 12 4
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.23 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2024 Championship
Gresik vs Persipal BU
3:2
Sep 25, 2024 Championship
Persipal BU vs Gresik
1:0
Feb 3, 2024 Championship
Persipal BU vs Gresik
1:1
Jan 12, 2024 Championship
Gresik vs Persipal BU
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gresik Compare

Top Goalscorer Setiawan S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muzakkar K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Persipal BU Compare

Top Goalscorer Ardiansyah F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ma'arif R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresik 95 / 100
Persipal BU 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gresik Persipal BU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persipal BU let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Persipal BU's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Gresik scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Persipal BU
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresik

(Home)
21 Feb
Persibo Bojonegoro
0 : 0
Gresik
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persiku Kudus
1 : 0
Gresik
09 Feb
Gresik
2 : 2
Persekat Tegal
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

Persipal BU

(Away)
03 May
PS Barito Putera
8 : 3
Persipal BU
26 Apr
Persipal BU
0 : 5
Persipura Jayapura
18 Apr
Persela Lamongan
7 : 1
Persipal BU
12 Apr
Persipal BU
2 : 4
Deltras Sidoarjo
04 Apr
PSS Sleman
7 : 0
Persipal BU
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiraja Aceh 16 10 4 2 33:17 34
2 PSKC Cimahi 16 8 3 5 19:15 27
3 PSPS Riau 16 7 6 3 27:19 27
4 PSMS Medan 16 7 5 4 23:13 26
5 Bekasi City 16 7 4 5 23:18 25
6 Persikota Tangerang 16 6 2 8 23:24 20
7 Dejan 16 5 5 6 17:23 20
8 Sriwijaya 16 3 5 8 19:23 14
9 Persikabo 1973 16 1 2 13 15:47 5
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 16 9 6 1 27:7 33
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 16 8 5 3 28:7 29
3 Persijap Jepara 16 7 7 2 20:9 28
4 Isenmulang Kalteng 16 7 4 5 20:14 25
5 Nusantara 16 4 7 5 14:21 19
6 Persekat Tegal 16 5 3 8 17:21 18
7 Persipa Pati 16 4 6 6 11:16 18
8 Persiku Kudus 16 3 7 6 8:15 16
9 Persikas Subang 16 2 1 13 10:45 7
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 14 7 5 2 23:13 26
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 14 6 7 1 22:11 25
3 Persipura Jayapura 14 7 2 5 25:14 23
4 Persibo Bojonegoro 14 7 2 5 25:17 23
5 Persipal BU 14 6 4 4 18:18 22
6 Gresik 14 6 3 5 18:16 21
7 RANS Nusantara 14 2 3 9 9:36 9
8 Persewar Waropen 14 1 2 11 16:31 -4
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)