Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2016/2017

Gresley

4 - 1

Spalding United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gresley in this FA Trophy 2016/2017 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Gresley

15%

Draws

85%

Spalding United

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spalding United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Spalding United lately — more wins on the board than Gresley.
Spalding United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Spalding United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Gresley, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Gresley Clean Sheet 14%

Spalding United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gresley	Spalding United
Matches Played	28	33
Wins	11	18
Draws	5	8
Losses	12	7
Goals Scored	1.57	1.85
Goals Conceded	1.54	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.48	1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2016 FA Trophy

Gresley vs Spalding United

4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gresley 10 / 100

Spalding United 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gresley Spalding United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spalding United Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Gresley scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Spalding United conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spalding United

0 Goals Scored 2.13

0 Goals Conceded 1.75

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gresley

(Home)

23 Jul

Gresley

0 : 1

Nuneaton

09 Sept

Gresley

0 : 6

Kidsgrove Athletic

13 Sept

Long Eaton

2 : 0

Gresley

13 Oct

Gresley

1 : 2

Newcastle Town

07 Oct

Gresley

0 : 1

Bedworth United

Page 1 of 6

Spalding United

(Away)

19 Sept

Spalding United

2 : 0

Hanley Town

12 Sept

Spalding United

2 : 1

Bedford

08 Sept

Spennymoor

1 : 3

Spalding United

05 Sept

Spalding United

2 : 0

Southport

31 Aug

South Shields

1 : 1

Spalding United

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Nantwich -

TBD -

Warrington Town -

Skelmersdale -

TBD -

Burscough 1

Kendal 2

Goole 2

Belper Town 1

TBD -

Blyth Spartans -

Rushall -

TBD -

Halesowen -

Buxton -

TBD -

Tadcaster Albion 0

Glossop North End 2

Stourbridge -

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Marine -

TBD -

Ashton United -

Bedworth United 5

Rugby 3

TBD -

Neots -

Hednesford -

TBD -

Basford Utd. 0

Stamford 1

Corby -

TBD -

Stafford -

St Ives Town -

TBD -

Chasetown 1

Carlton Town 3

Sutton Coldfield Town -

TBD -

Loughborough Dynamo 1

Leek Town 2

Shaw Lane 2

Scarborough Athletic 0

TBD -

Frickley -

Workington -

TBD -

Whitby -

Ramsbottom Utd 3

Sheffield FC 1

Ossett Albion 1

Prescot Cables 2

Cambridge City -

TBD -

Redditch -

Kidsgrove Athletic -

TBD -

Newcastle Town 1

Soham 3

Lancaster 4

Droylsden 2

Clitheroe 0

Stocksbridge 5

Barwell -

TBD -

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -

Mossley AFC 4

Northwich Victoria 3

Radcliffe 1

Farsley 3

Stratford -

TBD -

Grantham Town -

Spennymoor -

TBD -

Matlock -

Trafford 2

Colne 1

Ossett Town 0

Bamber Bridge 1

Leamington -

TBD -

Mickleover -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 7

Histon 2

TBD -

Coalville Town -

Gresley 4

Spalding United 1

Romulus 3

Lincoln Utd. 5

Colwyn Bay 1

Hyde 0

Brighouse Town 2

Witton Albion 5

Market Drayton -

TBD -

Kettering -

Kings Langley -

TBD -

Heybridge -

Canvey Island -

TBD -

Enfield Town -

Bishops Cleeve 1

Didcot 0

TBD -

Banbury -

Swindon Supermarine 3

Slimbridge 1

Larkhall 2

Taunton Town 6

Dunstable Town -

TBD -

Norwich Utd 0

Tooting & Mitcham 2

Wantage 3

Kidlington 2

TBD -

Weymouth -

Dorchester -

TBD -

Farnborough 1

Barnstaple Town 5

Staines -

TBD -

Basingstoke -

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

Cinderford Town -

Bognor Regis -

TBD -

Slough Town -

Havant & Waterlooville -

TBD -

Cirencester -

Maldon & Tiptree 3

Great Wakering 1

TBD -

Billericay -

Brightlingsea 2

Dereham 1

TBD -

Metropolitan Police -

Uxbridge 4

AFC Dunstable 0

TBD -

Harlow -

Hanwell Town 4

Bedford 0

Sittingbourne 0

Bury Town 2

Evesham 1

Shortwood 0

TBD -

Frome Town -

Chippenham Town -

TBD -

Hereford 3

Salisbury 4

Hendon -

TBD -

Leiston -

Dulwich Hamlet -

TBD -

Lowestoft -

Leatherhead -

TBD -

Chesham -

Merstham -

TBD -

Waltham Abbey -

Walton Casuals -

TBD -

Haringey Borough 1

Hythe 2

Burgess Hill -

TBD -

Beaconsfield Town -

Corinthian-Casuals 2

Thamesmead 1

Arlesey 2

Chalfont St Peter 8

Biggleswade Town -

TBD -

Aveley 1

FC Witham Town 2

Hayes & Yeading -

TBD -

Hitchin -

Folkestone -

TBD -

Whyteleafe 1

Cheshunt 3

Yate 2

Mangotsfield 0

Bridgwater United 3

North Leigh 6

Royston Town 3

Egham Town 0

Dorking Wanderers 3

Northwood 6

Tiverton 6

Paulton Rovers 1

AFC Totton 3

Wimborne 4

Needham Market -

TBD -

Godalming Town 0

Wroxham 3

Herne Bay 1

Barton 0

TBD -

Harrow Borough -

Cray Wanderers 6

Carshalton 3

Brentwood 1

Marlow 2

Kempston 5

Chipstead 3

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Phoenix Sports -

TBD -

Three Bridges 0

East Grinstead Town 4

Fleet Town 2

Bideford 1

Petersfield 2

Winchester City 4

Hastings 3

Ramsgate 0

Chatham 1

Aylesbury United 4

Faversham -

TBD -

Guernsey FC 0

South Park 2

Sudbury -

TBD -

Thurrock 1

Bowers & Pitsea 2

Horsham FC 2

Potters 0

Molesey 1

Romford 3

Kingstonian -

TBD -

Tilbury 1

Lewes 4

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Hornchurch 2

Ashford Town 3

Ware 3

Aylesbury Vale 1

Greenwich Borough 2

VCD Athletic 3

Grays -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

Semi-finals

Nantwich 2

Warrington Town 0

Skelmersdale 1

Kendal 3

Goole 2

Blyth Spartans 8

Rushall 1

Halesowen 2

Buxton 2

Glossop North End 0

Stourbridge 1

King’s Lynn 2

Marine 4

Ashton United 0

Bedworth United 2

Neots 3

Hednesford 4

Stamford 1

Corby 0

Stafford 2

St Ives Town 4

Carlton Town 1

Sutton Coldfield Town 1

Leek Town 2

Shaw Lane 6

Frickley 2

Workington 3

Whitby 4

Ramsbottom Utd 2

Prescot Cables 1

Cambridge City 1

Redditch 3

Kidsgrove Athletic 5

Soham 3

Lancaster 1

Stocksbridge 2

Barwell 2

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 0

Mossley AFC 1

Farsley 3

Stratford 2

Grantham Town 6

Spennymoor 1

Matlock 2

Trafford 2

Bamber Bridge 0

Leamington 0

Mickleover 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1

Coalville Town 0

Gresley 2

Lincoln Utd. 4

Colwyn Bay 2

Witton Albion 4

Market Drayton 1

Kettering 5

Kings Langley 1

Heybridge 0

Canvey Island 2

Enfield Town 3

Bishops Cleeve 1

Banbury 0

Swindon Supermarine 0

Taunton Town 5

Dunstable Town 4

Tooting & Mitcham 2

Wantage 0

Weymouth 4

Dorchester 3

Barnstaple Town 1

Staines 1

Basingstoke 4

Merthyr Town 6

Cinderford Town 1

Bognor Regis 1

Slough Town 4

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Cirencester 1

Maldon & Tiptree 0

Billericay 2

Brightlingsea 6

Metropolitan Police 2

Uxbridge 0

Harlow 1

Hanwell Town 2

Bury Town 1

Evesham 1

Frome Town 2

Chippenham Town 3

Salisbury 2

Hendon 0

Leiston 5

Dulwich Hamlet 2

Lowestoft 1

Leatherhead 2

Chesham 3

Merstham 5

Waltham Abbey 0

Walton Casuals 2

Hythe 3

Burgess Hill 5

Beaconsfield Town 1

Corinthian-Casuals 2

Chalfont St Peter 3

Biggleswade Town 1

FC Witham Town 0

Hayes & Yeading 0

Hitchin 1

Folkestone 3

Cheshunt 1

Yate 1

North Leigh 6

Royston Town 6

Northwood 3

Tiverton 0

Wimborne 1

Needham Market 2

Wroxham 0

Herne Bay 2

Harrow Borough 5

Cray Wanderers 4

Marlow 0

Kempston 1

Worthing FC 3

Phoenix Sports 3

East Grinstead Town 2

Fleet Town 1

Winchester City 2

Hastings 4

Aylesbury United 0

Faversham 3

South Park 4

Sudbury 4

Bowers & Pitsea 0

Horsham FC 1

Romford 3

Kingstonian 2

Lewes 1

Tonbridge 7

Ashford Town 4

Ware 3

VCD Athletic 1

Grays 1

Wingate & Finchley 3

TBD -

Stage 6

TBD -

Stage 5

TBD -

Stage 4

TBD -

Stage 3

TBD -

Stage 2

TBD -

Stage 1

TBD -

Final

Nantwich 2

Kendal 0

Blyth Spartans 4

Halesowen 3

Buxton 1

King’s Lynn 3

Marine 5

Neots 3

Hednesford 2

Stafford 3

St Ives Town 2

Leek Town 1

Shaw Lane 3

Whitby 0

Ramsbottom Utd 4

Redditch 1

Kidsgrove Athletic 3

Stocksbridge 5

Barwell 2

Farsley 3

Grantham Town 0

Matlock 2

Trafford 0

Mickleover 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Lincoln Utd. 5

Witton Albion 2

Kettering 1

Kings Langley 1

Enfield Town 0

Bishops Cleeve 0

Taunton Town 1

Dunstable Town 1

Weymouth 4

Dorchester 0

Basingstoke 3

Merthyr Town 2

Slough Town 4

Havant & Waterlooville 5

Billericay 0

Brightlingsea 2

Harlow 3

Hanwell Town 0

Frome Town 1

Chippenham Town 0

Leiston 1

Dulwich Hamlet 4

Chesham 0

Merstham 0

Hythe 3

Burgess Hill 4

Chalfont St Peter 3

Biggleswade Town 3

Hitchin 4

Folkestone 2

North Leigh 3

Royston Town 4

Wimborne 0

Needham Market 1

Harrow Borough 2

Cray Wanderers 1

Worthing FC 2

Phoenix Sports 1

Winchester City 3

Hastings 3

South Park 4

Sudbury 4

Romford 0

Kingstonian 3

Tonbridge 2

Ware 0

Wingate & Finchley 2

TBD -

Gresley vs Spalding United

England

Gresley

Spalding United

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Gresley

Spalding United

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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