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Gretna 2008 vs Selkirk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2018/2019
Sat, Feb 16, 2019
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gretna 2008 host Selkirk in the Lowland League 2018/2019. This has Gretna 2008 written all over it on paper. Gretna 2008 have averaged 1.81 scored and 2.61 conceded recently, against Selkirk's 0 scored and 7.67 conceded. Head-to-head, Gretna 2008 have won 2 to Selkirk's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 16, 2019, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 2.13, favoring Gretna 2008. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gretna 2008
15%
Draws
0%
Selkirk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gretna 2008

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Selkirk haven't matched Gretna 2008's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gretna 2008 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Lowland League 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%
Selkirk Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gretna 2008 Selkirk
Matches Played 31 3
Wins 9 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 1.81 0
Goals Conceded 2.61 7.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2019 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Selkirk
0:0
Aug 1, 2018 Lowland League
Selkirk vs Gretna 2008
0:8
Nov 25, 2017 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Selkirk
1:3
Nov 18, 2017 Lowland League
Selkirk vs Gretna 2008
0:2
Sep 23, 2017 Scottish Cup
Selkirk vs Gretna 2008
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gretna 2008 56 / 100
Selkirk 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gretna 2008 Selkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gretna 2008 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gretna 2008 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Selkirk let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gretna 2008 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gretna 2008 VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
3.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gretna 2008

(Home)
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1
Gretna 2008
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Gretna 2008
3 : 1
Celtic B
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
12 Sept
Gretna 2008
2 : 3
Pollok
Page 1 of 7

Selkirk

(Away)
08 Aug
Selkirk
0 : 5
Civil Service Strollers
01 Aug
Selkirk
0 : 8
Gretna 2008
28 Jul
East Kilbride
10 : 0
Selkirk

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Kilbride 28 23 3 2 66:12 72
2 Broomhill 28 18 7 3 67:29 61
3 Kelty Hearts 28 16 6 6 61:32 54
4 Spartans 28 14 9 5 63:31 51
5 Civil Service Strollers 28 15 4 9 51:38 49
6 East Stirlingshire 28 11 6 11 57:47 39
7 Cumbernauld Colts 28 11 6 11 40:47 39
8 Gala Fairydean Rovers 28 10 4 14 43:48 34
9 Caledonian Braves 28 9 6 13 43:52 33
10 Stirling University 28 7 10 11 43:50 31
11 Edinburgh University 28 7 9 12 38:54 30
12 Gretna 2008 28 9 2 17 42:67 29
13 Vale Of Leithen 28 8 5 15 43:74 29
14 Dalbeattie Star 28 5 7 16 33:63 22
15 Whitehill Welfare 28 2 6 20 24:70 12
16 Selkirk 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - League Two 2018/2019 (Relegation)