Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Greuther Furth vs Nurnberg

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Klaus F.
(Penalty)
26' Event
Scobel P.
Assist: Justvan J.
28'
Fernandez J.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga game between Greuther Furth and Nurnberg finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nurnberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Greuther Furth
30%
Draws
51%
Nurnberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nurnberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Greuther Furth haven't matched Nurnberg's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nurnberg a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Greuther Furth Clean Sheet 10%
Nurnberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greuther Furth Nurnberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.55 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Nurnberg
2:4
May 3, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Nurnberg
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Greuther Furth
2:2
Mar 16, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Greuther Furth
3:0
Oct 20, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Nurnberg
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greuther Furth Compare

Top Goalscorer Klaus F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nurnberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Scobel P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Justvan J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greuther Furth 18 / 100
Nurnberg 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greuther Furth Nurnberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nurnberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Greuther Furth scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Nurnberg has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Greuther Furth stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Greuther Furth VS Nurnberg
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Greuther Furth

(Home)
18 Sept
Greuther Furth
1 : 1
Magdeburg
12 Sept
Bochum
1 : 1
Greuther Furth
06 Sept
Greuther Furth
0 : 1
Heidenheim
29 Aug
Energie Cottbus
3 : 4
Greuther Furth
23 Aug
Greuther Furth
1 : 2
Bochum
Page 1 of 6

Nurnberg

(Away)
19 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 1
Nurnberg
11 Sept
Nurnberg
2 : 1
Hannover
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2
Nurnberg
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
22 Aug
FC Viktoria Koln
1 : 2
Nurnberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 6 4 1 1 14:12 13
4 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
5 Kaiserslautern 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
9 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
10 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
14 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
15 Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 12:13 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 0 4 2 7:10 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)