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Grevenmacher vs Differdange

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2016/2017 Op Flohr Stadion, Grevenmacher
Grevenmacher Logo

Grevenmacher

0 - 1
FT
Differdange Logo

Differdange

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Differdange in this Luxembourg Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Grevenmacher
15%
Draws
61%
Differdange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Differdange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Differdange lately — more wins on the board than Grevenmacher.
  • Differdange are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Differdange arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Differdange, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Differdange here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Grevenmacher Clean Sheet 10%
Differdange Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grevenmacher Differdange
Matches Played 30 45
Wins 11 33
Draws 1 7
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.2 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2022 Luxembourg Cup
Grevenmacher vs Differdange
0:2
Apr 18, 2018 Luxembourg Cup
Grevenmacher vs Differdange
0:1
Nov 20, 2016 Luxembourg Cup
Grevenmacher vs Differdange
0:1
Apr 24, 2016 BGL Ligue
Grevenmacher vs Differdange
0:5
Oct 25, 2015 BGL Ligue
Differdange vs Grevenmacher
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grevenmacher 10 / 100
Differdange 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grevenmacher Differdange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Differdange Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Grevenmacher scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Differdange let in goals in 42% of their last 45 matches.

Grevenmacher has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grevenmacher VS Differdange
3 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Grevenmacher

(Home)
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
3 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
0 : 3
UNA Strassen
28 Oct
Grevenmacher
2 : 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
01 Oct
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 2
Grevenmacher
30 Oct
Grevenmacher
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 6

Differdange

(Away)
20 Sept
Jeunesse Useldange
1 : 5
Differdange
16 Sept
Differdange
3 : 0
Hesperange
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0
Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1
Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Hostert
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Fola 7
Les Ardoisiers Perle 0
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
US Sandweiler 5
Progres Niedercorn 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
FC Munsbach 0
Hostert 6
Luxembourg City 3
Pratzerthal/Redange 2
Red Boys Aspelt 0
Kaerjeng 4
Mondorf 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Victoria Rosport 4
Ettelbruck 4
Steinfort 1
Gasperich 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 4
Kehlen 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig 1
Erpeldange 1
Rumelange 6
Lorentzweiler 4
Bissen 3
FC Mamer 0
Alisontia Steinsel 1
FF Norden 2
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Union Remich/Bous 0
Racing Luxembourg 8
Esch 13
Biekerech 1
AS Colmar-Berg 0
UNA Strassen 5
US Feulen 4
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 2
AS Wincrange 0
Hesperange 6
Mondercange 2
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 0
Lintgen 4
AS Hosingen 4
Jeunesse Biwer 3
Diekirch 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Differdange 5
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Cebra 1
Jeunesse Esch 3
Jeunesse Canach 3
Syra Mensdorf 0
FC Residence Walferdange 1
Grevenmacher 3
Wiltz 3
Luna Oberkorn 0
Avenir Beggen 0
FC Koerich/Simmern 1
Union Titus Petange 3
Union Tetange 2
Schifflange 1
Dudelange 7
1/16-finals
Fola 1
US Sandweiler 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Hostert 2
Luxembourg City 1
Kaerjeng 0
Mondorf 1
Victoria Rosport 3
Ettelbruck 4
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Kehlen 0
Rumelange 2
Lorentzweiler 2
Alisontia Steinsel 1
FF Norden 1
Racing Luxembourg 4
Esch 4
UNA Strassen 2
US Feulen 0
Hesperange 2
Mondercange 3
Lintgen 2
AS Hosingen 0
FC Rodange 91 4
Differdange 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Jeunesse Canach 1
Grevenmacher 3
Wiltz 3
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Union Titus Petange 0
Dudelange 6
1/8-finals
Fola 5
Hostert 3
Luxembourg City 1
Victoria Rosport 5
Ettelbruck 2
Rumelange 1
Lorentzweiler 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Esch 2
Hesperange 1
Mondercange 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Differdange 1
Grevenmacher 0
Wiltz 0
Dudelange 5
Quarter-finals
Fola 2
Victoria Rosport 0
Ettelbruck 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
Esch 3
FC Rodange 91 2
Differdange 0
Dudelange 3
Semi-finals
Fola 4
Racing Luxembourg 0
Esch 0
Dudelange 3
Final
Fola 1
Dudelange 4