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Grevenmacher vs Wiltz

Luxembourg Luxembourg

National Division 2015/2016 Op Flohr Stadion, Grevenmacher
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
60' Event

AI Match Summary

The National Division 2015/2016 game between Grevenmacher and Wiltz finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wiltz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Grevenmacher
15%
Draws
28%
Wiltz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grevenmacher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wiltz come out ahead of Grevenmacher on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Grevenmacher's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Wiltz have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Grevenmacher Clean Sheet 10%
Wiltz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grevenmacher Wiltz
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 11 15
Draws 1 4
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.2 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2016 BGL Ligue
Grevenmacher vs Wiltz
0:2
Nov 8, 2015 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Grevenmacher
3:2
May 17, 2015 BGL Ligue
Grevenmacher vs Wiltz
0:3
Nov 23, 2014 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Grevenmacher
1:0
Apr 13, 2014 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Grevenmacher
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grevenmacher 83 / 100
Wiltz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grevenmacher Wiltz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grevenmacher Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Wiltz conceded in 83% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Wiltz has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Grevenmacher found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Grevenmacher VS Wiltz
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grevenmacher

(Home)
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
3 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
0 : 3
UNA Strassen
28 Oct
Grevenmacher
2 : 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
01 Oct
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 2
Grevenmacher
30 Oct
Grevenmacher
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 6

Wiltz

(Away)
20 Sept
US Sandweiler
2 : 6
Wiltz
16 Sept
Bissen
4 : 2
Wiltz
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Jeunesse Esch
5 : 1
Wiltz
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2
Dudelange
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dudelange 26 19 5 2 65:21 62
2 Fola 26 19 5 2 61:23 62
3 Differdange 26 17 4 5 63:32 55
4 Jeunesse Esch 26 13 7 6 48:30 46
5 UNA Strassen 26 11 5 10 50:50 38
6 Progres Niedercorn 26 10 6 10 41:30 36
7 Mondorf 26 10 6 10 36:34 36
8 Racing Luxembourg 26 10 5 11 45:54 35
9 Luxembourg City 26 9 7 10 52:49 34
10 Rumelange 26 8 4 14 38:52 28
11 Victoria Rosport 26 7 5 14 46:49 26
12 Wiltz 26 5 6 15 22:60 21
13 Ettelbruck 26 4 5 17 25:70 17
14 Grevenmacher 26 3 4 19 15:53 13
Relegation - National Division 2015/2016 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2016/2017 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2016/2017 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2016/2017 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2016/2017 (Qualification)