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Grijo vs Bustelo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014
Grijo Logo

Grijo

3 - 1
FT
Bustelo Logo

Bustelo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014 game between Grijo and Bustelo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grijo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Grijo
15%
Draws
57%
Bustelo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bustelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Grijo's 1.4 goals per match outpaces what Bustelo have produced (1).
  • Model gives Bustelo a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Grijo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Grijo Clean Sheet 13%
Bustelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grijo Bustelo
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.4 1
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Bustelo vs Grijo
0:2
Mar 16, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Grijo vs Bustelo
3:1
Dec 15, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Bustelo vs Grijo
2:3
Sep 28, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Grijo vs Bustelo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grijo 27 / 100
Bustelo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grijo Bustelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bustelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bustelo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Grijo's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bustelo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grijo VS Bustelo
1 Goals Scored 0.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grijo

(Home)
21 Aug
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Grijo
24 May
SC Lusitania
2 : 1
Grijo
11 May
Grijo
1 : 2
Lusitano FCV
04 May
Bustelo
0 : 2
Grijo
27 Apr
Grijo
0 : 1
Estarreja
Page 1 of 6

Bustelo

(Away)
29 Sept
Beira Mar
2 : 0
Bustelo
07 Sept
Manteigas
1 : 3
Bustelo
15 May
Bustelo
1 : 0
Gafanha
08 May
Sanjoanense
2 : 0
Bustelo
30 Apr
Bustelo
2 : 3
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cinfaes 14 8 2 4 19:11 38
2 Anadia 14 6 4 4 17:14 35
3 Lusitano FCV 14 7 3 4 16:11 34
4 SC Lusitania 14 5 4 5 11:10 31
5 SC Espinho 14 5 4 5 18:17 28
6 Estarreja 14 6 2 6 12:19 28
7 Grijo 14 4 3 7 19:23 26
8 Bustelo 14 2 4 8 10:17 23
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)