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Grijo vs SC Lusitania - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

SC Lusitania in this Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Lusitania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Grijo
15%
Draws
21%
SC Lusitania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grijo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Grijo at 1.4 per game, SC Lusitania at 1.
  • Win probability leans Grijo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Grijo Clean Sheet 20%
SC Lusitania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grijo SC Lusitania
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.4 1
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SC Lusitania vs Grijo
2:1
Mar 30, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Grijo vs SC Lusitania
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grijo 58 / 100
SC Lusitania 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grijo SC Lusitania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grijo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SC Lusitania conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Grijo's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: SC Lusitania has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Lusitania
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grijo

(Home)
21 Aug
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Grijo
24 May
SC Lusitania
2 : 1
Grijo
11 May
Grijo
1 : 2
Lusitano FCV
04 May
Bustelo
0 : 2
Grijo
27 Apr
Grijo
0 : 1
Estarreja
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SC Lusitania

(Away)
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1
SC Lusitania
12 Apr
SC Lusitania
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
22 Mar
Lajense
3 : 1
SC Lusitania
15 Mar
SC Lusitania
0 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cinfaes 14 8 2 4 19:11 38
2 Anadia 14 6 4 4 17:14 35
3 Lusitano FCV 14 7 3 4 16:11 34
4 SC Lusitania 14 5 4 5 11:10 31
5 SC Espinho 14 5 4 5 18:17 28
6 Estarreja 14 6 2 6 12:19 28
7 Grijo 14 4 3 7 19:23 26
8 Bustelo 14 2 4 8 10:17 23
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)