Sport Picks

Grimsby vs Burton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy Blundell Park, Cleethorpes

Grimsby

Tue, Oct 6, 2026

0 - 1

06:00 PM

Burton

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Cartwright F.

46'

Sub

Willow J. In: Meakin R.

Out: Willow J.

46'

Sub

Lavelle S. In: Kacurri M.

Out: Lavelle S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Grimsby

15%

Draws

59%

Burton

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Grimsby carry the better recent record into this one.
36% — that's where the model lands on Grimsby taking it.
Grimsby have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Burton, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Burton have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Grimsby Clean Sheet 15%

Burton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Grimsby	Burton
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	9
Draws	9	11
Losses	9	10
Goals Scored	1.67	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 EFL Trophy

Grimsby vs Burton

0:1

Jan 7, 2023 FA Cup

Grimsby vs Burton

1:0

May 8, 2010 League Two

Burton vs Grimsby

3:0

Oct 10, 2009 League Two

Grimsby vs Burton

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grimsby 35 / 100

Burton 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Grimsby Burton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grimsby scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Burton conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Grimsby stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grimsby VS Burton

1.63 Goals Scored 1.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grimsby

(Home)

06 Oct

Grimsby

0 : 1

Burton

03 Oct

Grimsby

1 : 2

Shrewsbury

26 Sept

Newport

2 : 1

Grimsby

22 Sept

Notts County

2 : 1

Grimsby

19 Sept

Grimsby

2 : 0

Crawley Town

Page 1 of 6

Burton

(Away)

06 Oct

Grimsby

0 : 1

Burton

03 Oct

Burton

1 : 3

Huddersfield

26 Sept

Plymouth

0 : 1

Burton

22 Sept

Burton

1 : 2

Nottingham U21

19 Sept

Burton

2 : 2

Mansfield

Page 1 of 6