Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Brenan T.
Assist: Smith R.
27'
27'
Evans J.
Assist: Brenan T.
30'
30'
Burns D.
AI Match Summary
The League Two 2025/2026 game between Grimsby and Harrogate finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harrogate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harrogate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Grimsby come out ahead of Harrogate on wins alone.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Harrogate taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 16%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grimsby | Harrogate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 League Two
Grimsby vs Harrogate
1:3
Aug 9, 2025 League Two
Harrogate vs Grimsby
3:3
Apr 12, 2025 League Two
Harrogate vs Grimsby
2:2
Dec 26, 2024 League Two
Grimsby vs Harrogate
2:1
Apr 9, 2024 League Two
Harrogate vs Grimsby
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grimsby Compare
Top Goalscorer Green K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Harrogate Compare
Top Goalscorer Brenan T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Evans J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grimsby 28 / 100
Harrogate 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grimsby Harrogate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harrogate Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Grimsby found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Harrogate let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Grimsby has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Grimsby VS Harrogate
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Grimsby
(Home) 15 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 0 Exeter
08 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 3 Blackpool
04 Aug
Grimsby
3 : 2 Grimsby Borough
01 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 0 Wigan
29 Jul
Boston United
0 : 0 Grimsby
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 0 Exeter
08 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 3 Blackpool
04 Aug
Grimsby
3 : 2 Grimsby Borough
01 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 0 Wigan
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1 Lincoln City
Page 1 of 4
Harrogate
(Away) 15 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 3 Harrogate
08 Aug
Harrogate
5 : 2 Solihull Moors
01 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2 Doncaster
21 Jul
South Shields
1 : 2 Harrogate
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 3 Harrogate
21 Jul
South Shields
1 : 2 Harrogate
18 Jul
Cleethorpes
0 : 1 Harrogate
11 Jul
Guiseley
1 : 2 Harrogate
25 Apr
Walsall
0 : 2 Harrogate
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
