Sport Picks
Grimsby vs Shrewsbury - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Blundell Park, Cleethorpes 
Match Events
19'
19'
Lloyd G.
Assist: Boyle W.
26'
26'
Berkoe K.
50'
50'
Fletcher I.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Grimsby and Shrewsbury finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shrewsbury.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shrewsbury
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Grimsby come out ahead of Shrewsbury on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Grimsby taking it.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 20%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grimsby | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 League Two
Grimsby vs Shrewsbury
1:2
Dec 29, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Shrewsbury
1:0
Dec 9, 2025 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Grimsby
1:1
Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup
Grimsby vs Shrewsbury
3:1
Dec 15, 2015 FA Cup
Shrewsbury vs Grimsby
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grimsby Compare
Top Goalscorer Cartwright F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Shrewsbury Compare
Top Goalscorer Lloyd G.
1 Goals Assists Leader McMahon-Brown K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grimsby 36 / 100
Shrewsbury 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grimsby Shrewsbury
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Grimsby scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Shrewsbury let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Grimsby remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Grimsby VS Shrewsbury
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Grimsby
(Home) 03 Oct
Grimsby
1 : 2 Shrewsbury
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1 Grimsby
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1 Grimsby
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Crawley Town
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Grimsby
1 : 2 Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Crawley Town
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Bristol Rovers
29 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 2 Fleetwood Town
15 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 0 Exeter
Page 1 of 3
Shrewsbury
(Away) 03 Oct
Grimsby
1 : 2 Shrewsbury
26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2 Colchester
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0 Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 Shrewsbury
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0 Northampton
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Grimsby
1 : 2 Shrewsbury
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0 Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 Shrewsbury
05 Sept
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 Shrewsbury
01 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 0 Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 2 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Crewe | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 6 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Rochdale | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Swindon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 20 | Exeter | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | 9 |
| 21 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
