Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grindavik vs Fylkir

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Grindavíkurvöllur, Grindavík
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Ragnarsson H.
56'
Sub
Alexandersson C. In: Olafsson L.
Out: Alexandersson C.
60'
Sub
Oskarsson T. In: Sigfusson K.
Out: Oskarsson T.

AI Match Summary

Fylkir in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fylkir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Grindavik
30%
Draws
33%
Fylkir
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grindavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fylkir lately — more wins on the board than Grindavik.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Fylkir taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fylkir have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Grindavik Clean Sheet 10%
Fylkir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grindavik Fylkir
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 12 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.2 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Division 1
Fylkir vs Grindavik
6:1
Jun 17, 2026 Division 1
Grindavik vs Fylkir
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Division 1
Grindavik vs Fylkir
0:4
Jun 13, 2025 Division 1
Fylkir vs Grindavik
1:1
Aug 5, 2022 Division 1
Fylkir vs Grindavik
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grindavik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Fylkir Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigfusson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grindavik 10 / 100
Fylkir 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grindavik Fylkir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fylkir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Grindavik found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Fylkir conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Grindavik has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grindavik VS Fylkir
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Grindavik

(Home)
05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1
Grindavik
29 Aug
Grindavik
4 : 3
Kopavogur
22 Aug
Fylkir
6 : 1
Grindavik
17 Aug
Grindavik
0 : 0
Grotta
13 Aug
Grindavik
2 : 1
Throttur
Page 1 of 6

Fylkir

(Away)
19 Sept
Throttur
1 : 0
Fylkir
13 Sept
Fylkir
2 : 2
Kopavogur
09 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 3
Fylkir
05 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Fylkir
28 Aug
Fylkir
3 : 1
Grotta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)