Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Heras N.
57'
57'
Eysteinsson H.
68'
68'
Sub
Hakonarson V. In: Runarsson E.
Out: Hakonarson V.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grindavik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Keflavik come out ahead of Grindavik on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Keflavik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Keflavik, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Grindavik Clean Sheet 12%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grindavik | Keflavik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Grindavik vs Keflavik
2:1
Aug 13, 2025 Division 1
Keflavik vs Grindavik
4:0
Jul 7, 2025 Division 1
Grindavik vs Keflavik
1:4
Aug 8, 2024 Division 1
Keflavik vs Grindavik
2:1
May 31, 2024 Division 1
Grindavik vs Keflavik
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grindavik Compare
Top Goalscorer Victor R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Keflavik Compare
Top Goalscorer Ragnarsson E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grindavik 30 / 100
Keflavik 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grindavik Keflavik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Keflavik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Keflavik conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Grindavik scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Grindavik remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Grindavik VS Keflavik
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Grindavik
(Home) 05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1 Grindavik
29 Aug
Grindavik
4 : 3 Kopavogur
22 Aug
Fylkir
6 : 1 Grindavik
17 Aug
Grindavik
0 : 0 Grotta
13 Aug
Grindavik
2 : 1 Throttur
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Grindavik
4 : 3 Kopavogur
17 Aug
Grindavik
0 : 0 Grotta
13 Aug
Grindavik
2 : 1 Throttur
29 Jul
Grindavik
1 : 0 Leiknir Reykjavik
18 Jul
Grindavik
0 : 0 IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 3
Keflavik
(Away) 20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2 Fram
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1 Keflavik
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2 Valur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1 Keflavik
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1 Keflavik
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1 Keflavik
15 Aug
Thor Akureyri
0 : 2 Keflavik
09 Aug
Stjarnan
1 : 0 Keflavik
24 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
5 : 1 Keflavik
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 2
Neisti 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 7
Stokkseyri 3
Arbaer 1
Hafnir 0
Aegir -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 1
Reynir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
Olafsvik 3
Arborg 2
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 2
Haukar 3
KFR -
IH Hafnarfjordur -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Ellidi 9
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Alafoss 1
Fjolnir 4
KFG Gardabaer 2
Vidir 3
Kopavogur -
TBD -
BF 108 5
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 5
KB Breidholt 0
Spyrnir -
Sindri -
TBD -
KFA -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Smari 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 4
Hamar 2
Alftanes 5
Kria 2
SR Reykjavik 2
Kari 8
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Ymir 7
Falkar 0
KFS -
Thorlakur -
Tindastoll 3
Fjallabyggd 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Magni 3
Njardvik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 0
Selfoss 3
IBU 1
Augnablik 12
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn 5
Neisti 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 3
Arbaer 5
Aegir 2
Reynir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Throttur 3
Olafsvik 1
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 3
KFR 0
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 2
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjolnir 2
Vidir 1
Kopavogur 4
BF 108 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir 6
KV Reykjavik 0
Sindri 0
KFA 1
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Smari 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 1
Alftanes 5
Kari 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Afturelding 3
Ymir 10
KFS 0
Tindastoll 3
Magni 1
Njardvik 5
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Selfoss 7
Augnablik 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 5
Arbaer 1
Aegir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Breidablik 6
Akranes 4
Haukar 0
Grindavik 2
Keflavik 1
Fjolnir 3
Kopavogur 4
Fram 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 2
KFA 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
Vestri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Grotta 1
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 6
Ymir 1
Tindastoll 0
Njardvik 1
Stjarnan 2
Selfoss 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Valur 2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Aegir 2
Throttur 1
Breidablik 2
Akranes 3
Grindavik 2
Kopavogur 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 5
Hafnarfjordur 0
Vestri 0
Grotta 4
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 2
Stjarnan 2
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
Aegir 0
Breidablik 3
Akranes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 4
Grotta 2
Afturelding 3
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Fylkir 1
Afturelding 2
Final
Breidablik 2
Afturelding 1
