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Grixoa vs Cerceda

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2013/2014
Grixoa Logo

Grixoa

1 - 2
FT
Cerceda Logo

Cerceda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2013/2014 game between Grixoa and Cerceda finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerceda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Grixoa
35%
Draws
19%
Cerceda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grixoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grixoa come out ahead of Cerceda on wins alone.
  • Model gives Grixoa a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Grixoa Clean Sheet 20%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grixoa Cerceda
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 3
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 0.8 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Grixoa vs Cerceda
1:2
Nov 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Grixoa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grixoa 49 / 100
Cerceda 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grixoa Cerceda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grixoa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerceda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Grixoa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Cerceda has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cerceda
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grixoa

(Home)
11 May
Grixoa
0 : 1
Rapido de Bouzas
04 May
Alondras
2 : 2
Grixoa
27 Apr
Grixoa
0 : 0
Betanzos CF
17 Apr
CD AS Pontes
3 : 0
Grixoa
13 Apr
Grixoa
3 : 2
Laracha
Page 1 of 6

Cerceda

(Away)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Somozas 38 22 9 7 72:36 75
2 Cerceda 38 21 11 6 61:27 74
3 CD Boiro 38 19 17 2 66:37 74
4 Pontevedra 38 22 7 9 47:27 73
5 CD AS Pontes 38 21 10 7 72:42 73
6 CD Choco 38 19 8 11 67:51 65
7 Arosa SC 38 16 11 11 48:39 59
8 SD Ordenes 38 17 7 14 49:38 58
9 Deportivo Fabril 38 14 12 12 54:55 54
10 Rapido de Bouzas 38 14 9 15 46:51 51
11 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 12 15 11 43:43 51
12 Alondras 38 13 7 18 46:51 46
13 Racing Club Villalbes 38 12 10 16 31:47 46
14 Bertamirans FC 38 10 12 16 34:45 42
15 Laracha 38 9 10 19 31:54 37
16 CD Cultural Areas 38 10 5 23 46:74 35
17 Grixoa 38 7 12 19 32:55 33
18 Betanzos CF 38 5 16 17 30:55 31
19 Dorneda 38 8 7 23 33:57 31
20 SD Negreira 38 8 7 23 36:60 31
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)