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Stadium Background

Grobina vs FK Auda Riga

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Grobiņas pilsētas stadions, Grobina
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Match Events

32'
Baravykas R.
33'
Kholod A.
36'
Corryn M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Grobina
35%
Draws
45%
FK Auda Riga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Auda Riga lately — more wins on the board than Grobina.
  • Model gives FK Auda Riga a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Auda Riga have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grobina FK Auda Riga
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 6 20
Draws 12 6
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.82 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Grobina
1:0
Aug 17, 2026 Latvian Cup
FK Auda Riga vs Grobina
3:2
Jun 25, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs FK Auda Riga
0:0
May 7, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Grobina
7:0
Mar 14, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs FK Auda Riga
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grobina 22 / 100
FK Auda Riga 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grobina FK Auda Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Auda Riga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Grobina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Grobina found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (33 games).

FK Auda Riga has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grobina VS FK Auda Riga
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grobina

(Home)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
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FK Auda Riga

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)