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Grobina vs FK Liepaja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Grobiņas pilsētas stadions, Grobina
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grobina host FK Liepaja in the Virsliga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Grobina have averaged 0.76 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against FK Liepaja's 1.31 scored and 1.48 conceded. Head-to-head, Grobina have won 1 to FK Liepaja's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 21, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.88) back FK Liepaja to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Grobina
35%
Draws
35%
FK Liepaja
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Liepaja lately — more wins on the board than Grobina.
  • Model gives Grobina a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grobina FK Liepaja
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.76 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Grobina
3:1
Jun 16, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs FK Liepaja
1:0
Apr 28, 2026 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Grobina
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Virsliga
Grobina vs FK Liepaja
0:1
Jun 30, 2025 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Grobina
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grobina 34 / 100
FK Liepaja 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grobina FK Liepaja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FK Liepaja conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Grobina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Grobina scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grobina VS FK Liepaja
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grobina

(Home)
10 Oct
Super Nova
2 : 1
Grobina
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6

FK Liepaja

(Away)
12 Oct
FK Liepaja
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
Riga FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 31 24 5 2 75:24 77
2 Riga FC 32 23 7 2 88:30 76
3 FK Auda Riga 32 19 7 6 52:32 64
4 FK Liepaja 32 12 7 13 43:46 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 32 11 9 12 37:36 42
6 Super Nova 31 11 5 15 31:41 38
7 Jelgava 32 8 8 16 34:53 32
8 Grobina 32 5 11 16 22:54 26
9 Tukums 2000 32 5 9 18 44:63 24
10 Ogre United 32 4 6 22 31:78 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)