Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grobina vs Super Nova

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Grobiņas pilsētas stadions, Grobina
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Rascevskis O.
51' Event
Lizunovs V.
(Penalty)
66'
Sub
Ribeiro J. In: Dobrecovs D.
Out: Ribeiro J.

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between Grobina and Super Nova finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Super Nova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Grobina
30%
Draws
47%
Super Nova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Super Nova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Grobina haven't matched Super Nova's recent run of results.
  • Super Nova are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Grobina Clean Sheet 12%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grobina Super Nova
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 10 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.73 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Virsliga
Super Nova vs Grobina
2:0
May 20, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs Super Nova
0:2
Apr 9, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs Super Nova
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Virsliga
Grobina vs Super Nova
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Virsliga
Super Nova vs Grobina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grobina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Super Nova Compare

Top Goalscorer Grikovs A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grobina 27 / 100
Super Nova 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grobina Super Nova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Super Nova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Super Nova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Grobina scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Grobina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grobina VS Super Nova
1 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grobina

(Home)
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
17 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2
Grobina
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Super Nova

(Away)
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
16 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 1
RFS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 22 4 2 68:20 70
2 Riga FC 29 20 7 2 84:30 67
3 FK Auda Riga 29 17 6 6 47:29 57
4 FK Liepaja 30 12 6 12 41:43 42
5 BFC Daugavpils 29 10 8 11 34:33 38
6 Super Nova 28 10 5 13 29:38 35
7 Jelgava 30 8 8 14 32:48 32
8 Grobina 30 5 10 15 20:51 25
9 Tukums 2000 30 5 8 17 43:60 23
10 Ogre United 29 3 6 20 29:75 15
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)