Sport Picks
Grobina vs Tukums 2000
Latvia
Virsliga Grobiņas pilsētas stadions, Grobina 
Match Events
1'
1'
Puzirevskis A.
Assist: Sidorovs M.
11'
11'
Kholod A.
Assist: Sidorovs M.
13'
13'
Gastaldelo L.
AI Match Summary
The Virsliga game between Grobina and Tukums 2000 finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grobina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Grobina carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Grobina Clean Sheet 22%
Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grobina | Tukums 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs Tukums 2000
3:1
May 15, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs Tukums 2000
3:3
Apr 5, 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs Grobina
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Virsliga
Grobina vs Tukums 2000
1:0
Jul 21, 2025 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs Grobina
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grobina Compare
Top Goalscorer Puzirevskis A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kholod A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Tukums 2000 Compare
Top Goalscorer Gastaldelo L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Deruzinskis R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grobina 37 / 100
Tukums 2000 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grobina Tukums 2000
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TUK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Tukums 2000 conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Tukums 2000's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Grobina's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Grobina VS Tukums 2000
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Grobina
(Home) 10 Aug
RFS
6 : 1 Grobina
02 Aug
Riga FC
4 : 0 Grobina
27 Jul
Grobina
2 : 2 Ogre United
20 Jul
Super Nova
2 : 0 Grobina
12 Jul
Marupe
0 : 1 Grobina
Page 1 of 6
27 Jul
Grobina
2 : 2 Ogre United
05 Jul
Grobina
3 : 1 Tukums 2000
25 Jun
Grobina
0 : 0 FK Auda Riga
16 Jun
Grobina
1 : 0 FK Liepaja
13 Jun
Grobina
1 : 3 RFS
Page 1 of 3
Tukums 2000
(Away) 08 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0 Tukums 2000
02 Aug
Tukums 2000
2 : 1 FK Liepaja
27 Jul
Tukums 2000
0 : 1 RFS
18 Jul
Riga FC
3 : 1 Tukums 2000
11 Jul
Tukums 2000
1 : 2 Super Nova
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0 Tukums 2000
18 Jul
Riga FC
3 : 1 Tukums 2000
05 Jul
Grobina
3 : 1 Tukums 2000
26 Jun
Ogre United
3 : 2 Tukums 2000
21 Jun
Jelgava
4 : 1 Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 62:17 | 65 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 64 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 46 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | 34 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26:37 | 27 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:44 | 25 |
| 8 | Grobina | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:47 | 21 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 40:51 | 20 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 24:65 | 14 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga 2027 (Main)
