Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grobina vs Tukums 2000

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Grobiņas pilsētas stadions, Grobina
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Olatunde-Matthew O.
18' Event
Ribeiro J.
Assist: Dobrecovs D.
29'
Susts M.

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between Grobina and Tukums 2000 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grobina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Grobina
30%
Draws
31%
Tukums 2000
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grobina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Tukums 2000 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Grobina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Grobina Clean Sheet 13%
Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grobina Tukums 2000
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.73 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.77 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs Grobina
1:1
Jul 5, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs Tukums 2000
3:1
May 15, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs Tukums 2000
3:3
Apr 5, 2026 Virsliga
Tukums 2000 vs Grobina
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Virsliga
Grobina vs Tukums 2000
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sidorovs M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Tukums 2000 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samoilovs B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grobina 66 / 100
Tukums 2000 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grobina Tukums 2000

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grobina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000 has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Grobina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tukums 2000's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grobina VS Tukums 2000
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grobina

(Home)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 6

Tukums 2000

(Away)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
21 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)