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Grodig vs Bad Leonfelden

Austria Austria

Regionalliga North Untersberg-Arena, Grodig
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grodig host Bad Leonfelden in the Regionalliga North. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Bad Leonfelden have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Grodig have conceded 1.07 and scored 2.97. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (2.00 - 1.75) back Grodig to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Grodig
20%
Draws
38%
Bad Leonfelden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grodig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grodig come out ahead of Bad Leonfelden on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Grodig's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Grodig Clean Sheet 12%
Bad Leonfelden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grodig Bad Leonfelden
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.97 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grodig 35 / 100
Bad Leonfelden 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grodig Bad Leonfelden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grodig scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Bad Leonfelden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Grodig went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bad Leonfelden's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grodig VS Bad Leonfelden
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Grodig

(Home)
04 Sept
Grodig
2 : 1
UFC Hallein
22 Aug
Grodig
1 : 0
Union Gurten
15 Aug
Ried (Am)
2 : 1
Grodig
11 Aug
Grodig
2 : 3
Wals-Grunau
07 Aug
Seekirchen
0 : 1
Grodig
Page 1 of 6

Bad Leonfelden

(Away)
04 Sept
Bad Leonfelden
3 : 2
Dietach
29 Aug
Schallerbach
2 : 2
Bad Leonfelden
21 Aug
Bad Leonfelden
4 : 0
UFC Hallein
11 Aug
Bad Leonfelden
2 : 5
Union Gurten
07 Aug
Ried (Am)
1 : 1
Bad Leonfelden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wals-Grunau 7 4 3 0 16:10 15
2 Wallern/St Marienkirchen 7 4 1 2 19:9 13
3 Union Gurten 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Grodig 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
5 Kuchl 7 3 2 2 13:9 11
6 Ried (Am) 7 3 1 3 9:12 10
7 Johann 7 3 1 3 7:12 10
8 Bad Leonfelden 6 2 3 1 13:11 9
9 LASK Linz (Am) 6 2 2 2 16:9 8
10 Schallerbach 5 2 1 2 11:8 7
11 Seekirchen 7 2 1 4 8:16 7
12 UFC Hallein 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
13 Dietach 6 1 2 3 9:19 5
14 Vorwarts Steyr 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
15 Pinzgau Saalfelden 7 1 1 5 11:17 4
Promotion - Regionalliga Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)