Sport Picks
Match Events
51'
51'
Vluggen T.
70'
70'
Stankov A.
83'
83'
Intezar M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2019/2020 game between Groene Ster and Lienden finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Groene Ster.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Groene Ster
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Lienden haven't matched Groene Ster's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Groene Ster here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 10%
Lienden Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Groene Ster | Lienden |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 19 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 0.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2020 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs Lienden
3:1
Sep 15, 2019 Derde Divisie
Lienden vs Groene Ster
0:0
Aug 22, 2018 KNVB Beker
Groene Ster vs Lienden
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Groene Ster Compare
Top Goalscorer Vluggen T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stankov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Lienden Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Groene Ster 34 / 100
Lienden 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Groene Ster Lienden
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lienden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lienden has conceded goals in 84% of their last 19 outings.
Attacking prowess: Groene Ster scored in 70% of their last 37 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.
Groene Ster has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Groene Ster VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Groene Ster
(Home) 22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6 AFC
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1 Groene Ster
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
02 Sept
Groene Ster
2 : 1 VV Heerjansdam
Page 1 of 8
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6 AFC
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
02 Sept
Groene Ster
2 : 1 VV Heerjansdam
30 Aug
Groene Ster
3 : 3 VVSB
16 Aug
Groene Ster
1 : 3 Roosendaal
Page 1 of 4
Lienden
(Away) 08 Mar
Lienden
1 : 0 HV & CV Quick
01 Mar
Groene Ster
3 : 1 Lienden
16 Feb
Lienden
0 : 3 OFC Oostzaan
02 Feb
Lienden
1 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
21 Jan
Lienden
1 : 3 Jong Den Haag
Page 1 of 4
01 Mar
Groene Ster
3 : 1 Lienden
19 Jan
USV Hercules
3 : 0 Lienden
14 Dec
EVV
5 : 0 Lienden
01 Dec
HV & CV Quick
1 : 0 Lienden
17 Nov
HSC '21
1 : 1 Lienden
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Nijkerk | 22 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 58:27 | 52 |
| 2 | ODIN '59 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 63:30 | 47 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 43:34 | 42 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 39:30 | 42 |
| 5 | Lisse | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 44:33 | 38 |
| 6 | HSV Hoek | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 54:42 | 34 |
| 7 | Barendrecht | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 37:38 | 34 |
| 8 | Excelsior 31 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 50:40 | 31 |
| 9 | Jong Almere City | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 54:48 | 31 |
| 10 | Ajax (Am) | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:38 | 31 |
| 11 | GOES | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 12 | VVSB | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 47:48 | 28 |
| 13 | SteDoCo | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 41:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Ter Leede | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 36:53 | 27 |
| 15 | VV DOVO | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 45:55 | 22 |
| 16 | ONS Sneek | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 32:72 | 12 |
| 17 | VVOG | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26:59 | 11 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC OSS '20 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 55:24 | 53 |
| 2 | Jong Den Haag | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 47:36 | 39 |
| 3 | OFC Oostzaan | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 38:27 | 36 |
| 4 | Gemert | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 42:42 | 35 |
| 5 | Dongen | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 34:19 | 34 |
| 6 | UNA | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 35:39 | 32 |
| 7 | EVV | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 30:27 | 31 |
| 8 | Blauw Geel | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 38:38 | 29 |
| 9 | HSC '21 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:39 | 29 |
| 10 | DEM | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 27 |
| 11 | USV Hercules | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 35:38 | 27 |
| 12 | Groene Ster | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:33 | 27 |
| 13 | HV & CV Quick | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29:26 | 26 |
| 14 | Westlandia | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 31:40 | 24 |
| 15 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 29:35 | 21 |
| 16 | Lienden | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17:39 | 18 |
| 17 | Hoogland | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | 17 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
