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Grohn vs Aumund-Vegesack - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bremen 2016/2017 game between Grohn and Aumund-Vegesack finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aumund-Vegesack.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Grohn
15%
Draws
46%
Aumund-Vegesack
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aumund-Vegesack

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aumund-Vegesack come out ahead of Grohn on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aumund-Vegesack's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Grohn Clean Sheet 20%
Aumund-Vegesack Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grohn Aumund-Vegesack
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 7 16
Draws 2 2
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.45 2.36
Goals Conceded 4.38 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Grohn vs Aumund-Vegesack
1:0
Mar 26, 2017 Oberliga Bremen
Grohn vs Aumund-Vegesack
2:4
Dec 17, 2016 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs Grohn
4:4
Apr 27, 2016 Oberliga Bremen
Grohn vs Aumund-Vegesack
0:6
Apr 23, 2016 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs Grohn
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grohn 16 / 100
Aumund-Vegesack 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grohn Aumund-Vegesack

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aumund-Vegesack Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aumund-Vegesack let in goals in 89% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Grohn's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Grohn went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grohn VS Aumund-Vegesack
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Grohn

(Home)
26 Sept
BTS Neustadt
2 : 1
Grohn
20 Sept
Grohn
2 : 1
Werder Bremen III
13 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
4 : 3
Grohn
06 Sept
Grohn
2 : 5
Blumenthaler
30 Aug
Vatan Bremen
2 : 3
Grohn
Page 1 of 6

Aumund-Vegesack

(Away)
26 Sept
Aumund-Vegesack
1 : 1
Hemelingen
19 Sept
Woltmershausen
1 : 7
Aumund-Vegesack
12 Sept
Aumund-Vegesack
2 : 3
Union 60 Bremen
04 Sept
Oberneuland
2 : 3
Aumund-Vegesack
29 Aug
Aumund-Vegesack
2 : 3
Brinkumer
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bremer 30 29 1 0 140:15 88
2 Blumenthaler 30 23 3 4 90:38 72
3 Brinkumer 30 20 2 8 93:34 62
4 Schwachhausen 30 15 6 9 78:57 51
5 Werder Bremen III 30 15 3 12 80:58 48
6 Oberneuland 30 13 4 13 66:57 43
7 Aumund-Vegesack 30 13 3 14 66:69 42
8 Leher 30 12 5 13 66:71 41
9 BTS Neustadt 30 12 4 14 45:57 40
10 VfL Bremen 30 10 6 14 59:66 36
11 Habenhauser 30 9 8 13 46:64 35
12 ESC Geestemunde 30 11 2 17 54:88 35
13 Grolland 30 10 1 19 45:83 31
14 OSC Bremerhaven 30 8 4 18 51:87 28
15 Melchiorshausen 30 7 5 18 46:69 26
16 Grohn 30 4 1 25 33:145 13
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2016/2017 (Promotion)