Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2019/2020

Baltyk Koszalin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Grom Nowy Staw host Baltyk Koszalin in the III Liga - Group II 2019/2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Grom Nowy Staw have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Baltyk Koszalin's 1.13 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Grom Nowy Staw have won 0 to Baltyk Koszalin's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward Grom Nowy Staw. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Grom Nowy Staw

Draws

Baltyk Koszalin

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Grom Nowy Staw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Baltyk Koszalin come out ahead of Grom Nowy Staw on wins alone.
Model gives Grom Nowy Staw a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular III Liga - Group II 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 18%

Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Grom Nowy Staw	Baltyk Koszalin
Matches Played	12	34
Wins	5	10
Draws	1	8
Losses	6	16
Goals Scored	1.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2020 III Liga - Group II

Grom Nowy Staw vs Baltyk Koszalin

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Aug 31, 2019 III Liga - Group II

Baltyk Koszalin vs Grom Nowy Staw

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grom Nowy Staw 85 / 100

Baltyk Koszalin 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Grom Nowy Staw Baltyk Koszalin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltyk Koszalin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 34 matches.

Grom Nowy Staw found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (12 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Grom Nowy Staw has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grom Nowy Staw VS Baltyk Koszalin

1.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KKS Kalisz	18	14	3	1	41:12	45
2	Stezyca	18	11	7	0	37:10	40
3	Swit Szczecin	18	11	6	1	30:7	39
4	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	18	13	0	5	37:22	39
5	KS Mieszko Gniezno	18	11	3	4	33:17	36
6	Unia Janikowo	18	10	3	5	43:29	33
7	Kleczew	18	8	3	7	22:22	27
8	Starogard Gdanski	18	7	4	7	19:20	25
9	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	18	6	5	7	28:24	23
10	Pogon Szczecin II	18	6	3	9	23:30	21
11	Chemik Police	18	6	3	9	21:27	21
12	Gwardia Koszalin	18	5	3	10	19:37	18
13	Baltyk Koszalin	18	4	5	9	17:35	17
14	Nielba Wagrowiec	18	4	4	10	22:38	16
15	Jarocin	18	3	6	9	18:24	15
16	Gornik Konin	18	4	2	12	22:37	14
17	Grom Nowy Staw	18	3	5	10	19:35	14
18	B. Gdynia	18	3	1	14	12:37	10