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Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2019/2020
Sat, May 16, 2020
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grom Nowy Staw host Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in the III Liga - Group II 2019/2020. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Polonia Sroda Wielkopol have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Grom Nowy Staw have conceded 0 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Grom Nowy Staw have won 0 to Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 16, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.24) back Polonia Sroda Wielkopol to edge this. Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Grom Nowy Staw
30%
Draws
34%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grom Nowy Staw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Grom Nowy Staw are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 19%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grom Nowy Staw Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 12 35
Wins 5 20
Draws 1 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:0
Oct 12, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Grom Nowy Staw
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grom Nowy Staw 36 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grom Nowy Staw Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grom Nowy Staw found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (12 games).

Defensive concern: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Grom Nowy Staw has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grom Nowy Staw VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KKS Kalisz18143141:1245
2Stezyca18117037:1040
3Swit Szczecin18116130:739
4Kotwica Kolobrzeg18130537:2239
5KS Mieszko Gniezno18113433:1736
6Unia Janikowo18103543:2933
7Kleczew1883722:2227
8Starogard Gdanski1874719:2025
9Polonia Sroda Wielkopol1865728:2423
10Pogon Szczecin II1863923:3021
11Chemik Police1863921:2721
12Gwardia Koszalin18531019:3718
13Baltyk Koszalin1845917:3517
14Nielba Wagrowiec18441022:3816
15Jarocin1836918:2415
16Gornik Konin18421222:3714
17Grom Nowy Staw18351019:3514
18B. Gdynia18311412:3710