Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grom Nowy Staw vs Unia Swarzedz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Gozdzik G.
57' Event
Jankowski I.
65' Event
Mielnik A.

AI Match Summary

Unia Swarzedz in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Unia Swarzedz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Grom Nowy Staw
20%
Draws
40%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Unia Swarzedz lately — more wins on the board than Grom Nowy Staw.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Unia Swarzedz taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 10%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grom Nowy Staw Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.37 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Grom Nowy Staw vs Unia Swarzedz
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grom Nowy Staw Compare

Top Goalscorer Jankowski I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mielnik A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Gozdzik G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luczak B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grom Nowy Staw 26 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grom Nowy Staw Unia Swarzedz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grom Nowy Staw scored in 95% of their last 19 games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Unia Swarzedz let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Grom Nowy Staw remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grom Nowy Staw VS Unia Swarzedz
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grom Nowy Staw

(Home)
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3
Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Swinoujscie
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
05 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
4 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 4

Unia Swarzedz

(Away)
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 11 8 3 0 33:16 27
2 Luzino 11 8 1 2 31:13 25
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 10 5 3 2 15:14 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 11 4 1 6 28:28 13
13 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
14 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
15 Elana Torun 11 2 4 5 16:22 10
16 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 11 1 5 5 11:23 8
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)