Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Groningen U21 in this Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Groningen U21
20%
Draws
42%
De Graafschap U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: De Graafschap U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Groningen U21 lately — more wins on the board than De Graafschap U21.
  • Win probability leans Groningen U21's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Groningen U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Groningen U21, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Groningen U21 Clean Sheet 10%
De Graafschap U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groningen U21 De Graafschap U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21
3:1
May 2, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs Groningen U21
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs Groningen U21
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groningen U21 38 / 100
De Graafschap U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groningen U21 De Graafschap U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Groningen U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groningen U21's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

De Graafschap U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Groningen U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Groningen U21 VS De Graafschap U21
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Groningen U21

(Home)
10 Jun
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Groningen U21
06 Jun
Groningen U21
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
03 Jun
Groningen U21
3 : 1
De Graafschap U21
30 May
Sittard U21
2 : 2
Groningen U21
16 May
Groningen U21
4 : 1
Den Haag U21
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De Graafschap U21

(Away)
03 Jun
Groningen U21
3 : 1
De Graafschap U21
30 May
De Graafschap U21
3 : 1
Feyenoord U21
20 May
De Graafschap U21
2 : 0
Den Haag U21
16 May
Cambuur U21
2 : 3
De Graafschap U21
09 May
Willem II U21
2 : 1
De Graafschap U21
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Groningen U21 3
De Graafschap U21 1