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Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026
Groningen U21 Logo

Groningen U21

1 - 0
FT
De Graafschap U21 Logo

De Graafschap U21

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 game between Groningen U21 and De Graafschap U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Groningen U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Groningen U21
20%
Draws
42%
De Graafschap U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: De Graafschap U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Groningen U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Groningen U21's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Groningen U21 Clean Sheet 10%
De Graafschap U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groningen U21 De Graafschap U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21
3:1
May 2, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs Groningen U21
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
De Graafschap U21 vs Groningen U21
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs De Graafschap U21
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groningen U21 38 / 100
De Graafschap U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groningen U21 De Graafschap U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Groningen U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groningen U21 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

De Graafschap U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Groningen U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Groningen U21 VS De Graafschap U21
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Groningen U21

(Home)
10 Jun
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Groningen U21
06 Jun
Groningen U21
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
03 Jun
Groningen U21
3 : 1
De Graafschap U21
30 May
Sittard U21
2 : 2
Groningen U21
16 May
Groningen U21
4 : 1
Den Haag U21
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De Graafschap U21

(Away)
03 Jun
Groningen U21
3 : 1
De Graafschap U21
30 May
De Graafschap U21
3 : 1
Feyenoord U21
20 May
De Graafschap U21
2 : 0
Den Haag U21
16 May
Cambuur U21
2 : 3
De Graafschap U21
09 May
Willem II U21
2 : 1
De Graafschap U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 De Graafschap U21 14 9 2 3 31:16 29
2 Willem II U21 14 8 2 4 31:24 26
3 Feyenoord U21 14 7 1 6 30:22 22
4 FC Twente/Heracles U21 14 7 1 6 38:32 22
5 Cambuur U21 14 7 1 6 34:29 22
6 Groningen U21 14 6 2 6 22:27 20
7 Den Haag U21 14 5 1 8 26:35 16
8 Sittard U21 14 1 2 11 14:41 5
Promotion - Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 (Play Offs)