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Groningen U21 vs Willem II U21

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026
Groningen U21 Logo

Groningen U21

1 - 0
FT
Willem II U21 Logo

Willem II U21

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 game between Groningen U21 and Willem II U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Groningen U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Groningen U21
20%
Draws
29%
Willem II U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Groningen U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Groningen U21 come out ahead of Willem II U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Groningen U21's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Groningen U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Willem II U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groningen U21 Willem II U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.73 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Willem II U21 vs Groningen U21
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs Willem II U21
0:4
Dec 13, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs Willem II U21
1:0
Sep 9, 2025 Divisie 1 U21
Willem II U21 vs Groningen U21
1:5
Nov 19, 2022 Divisie 1 U21
Groningen U21 vs Willem II U21
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groningen U21 75 / 100
Willem II U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groningen U21 Willem II U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Groningen U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Groningen U21 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Willem II U21 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Groningen U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Groningen U21 VS Willem II U21
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Groningen U21

(Home)
19 Sept
G.A. Eagles U21
2 : 2
Groningen U21
12 Sept
Groningen U21
0 : 3
Zwolle U21
05 Sept
Groningen U21
4 : 0
FC Twente/Heracles U21
29 Aug
De Graafschap U21
1 : 2
Groningen U21
10 Jun
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Groningen U21
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Willem II U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Willem II U21
0 : 2
De Graafschap U21
13 Sept
Willem II U21
2 : 3
Feyenoord U21
05 Sept
Cambuur U21
3 : 3
Willem II U21
29 Aug
Willem II U21
0 : 1
Zwolle U21
30 May
Willem II U21
3 : 2
FC Twente/Heracles U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Groningen U21 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
2 Feyenoord U21 14 7 2 5 30:27 23
3 Cambuur U21 14 7 1 6 29:22 22
4 FC Twente/Heracles U21 14 6 2 6 29:26 20
5 Willem II U21 14 6 1 7 25:25 19
6 De Graafschap U21 14 5 3 6 18:21 18
7 Zwolle U21 14 5 0 9 22:33 15
8 G.A. Eagles U21 14 4 0 10 14:30 12
Promotion - Divisie 1 U21 2025/2026 (Play Offs)