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Groningen vs AEK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Vaessen E. In: Stubljar L.
Out: Vaessen E.
46'
Sub
Zubkov O. In: Sahabo H.
Out: Zubkov O.
46'
Sub
Kairinen K. In: Mantalos P.
Out: Kairinen K.

AI Match Summary

AEK in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AEK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Groningen
30%
Draws
51%
AEK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • AEK have won more games recently than Groningen.
  • Model gives AEK a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Groningen Clean Sheet 10%
AEK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groningen AEK
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.48 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.18 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Groningen vs AEK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Groningen Compare

Top Goalscorer Zawada O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.59

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Zini
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaloskamis D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groningen 10 / 100
AEK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groningen AEK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groningen scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Groningen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: AEK conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Groningen VS AEK
1.86 Goals Scored 2.38
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.5
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Groningen

(Home)
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
12 Sept
G.A. Eagles
1 : 1
Groningen
06 Sept
Groningen
2 : 2
Twente
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3
Sittard
23 Aug
PSV
5 : 1
Groningen
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AEK

(Away)
20 Sept
Volos
1 : 2
AEK
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1
Panserraikos
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0
LASK Linz
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
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