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Groningen vs Nijmegen

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Shiogai K.
90' Event
Willumsson B.
96' Event
Ogawa K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Groningen and Nijmegen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nijmegen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Groningen
35%
Draws
19%
Nijmegen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Groningen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Groningen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Groningen taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Groningen Clean Sheet 13%
Nijmegen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groningen Nijmegen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Nijmegen
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs Groningen
2:0
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Groningen vs Nijmegen
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Nijmegen
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs Groningen
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Groningen Compare

Top Goalscorer Willumsson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Nijmegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Shiogai K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ogawa K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groningen 84 / 100
Nijmegen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groningen Nijmegen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Groningen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groningen found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Nijmegen conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Groningen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Groningen VS Nijmegen
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Groningen

(Home)
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
12 Sept
G.A. Eagles
1 : 1
Groningen
06 Sept
Groningen
2 : 2
Twente
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3
Sittard
23 Aug
PSV
5 : 1
Groningen
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Nijmegen

(Away)
20 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 1
G.A. Eagles
17 Sept
Juventus
5 : 0
Nijmegen
12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0
Nijmegen
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Excelsior
05 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 3
Feyenoord
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