Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grosseto U20 vs Spezia U20

Italy Italy

Primavera - Group A 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spezia U20 in this Primavera - Group A 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spezia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Grosseto U20
30%
Draws
47%
Spezia U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spezia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spezia U20 lately — more wins on the board than Grosseto U20.
  • Spezia U20 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Primavera - Group A 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Grosseto U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Spezia U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosseto U20 Spezia U20
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 3 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.87 1.04
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2013 Primavera - Group A
Grosseto U20 vs Spezia U20
1:2
Sep 8, 2012 Primavera - Group A
Spezia U20 vs Grosseto U20
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosseto U20 18 / 100
Spezia U20 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosseto U20 Spezia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spezia U20 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Grosseto U20 found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Grosseto U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grosseto U20 VS Spezia U20
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosseto U20

(Home)
20 Apr
Livorno U20
2 : 2
Grosseto U20
13 Apr
Grosseto U20
0 : 2
Siena U20
06 Apr
Empoli U20
2 : 0
Grosseto U20
03 Apr
Grosseto U20
2 : 1
Sampdoria U20
16 Mar
Novara U20
3 : 2
Grosseto U20
Page 1 of 6

Spezia U20

(Away)
21 Apr
Spezia U20
2 : 1
Fiorentina U20
13 Apr
Parma U20
1 : 1
Spezia U20
07 Apr
Spezia U20
2 : 0
Cagliari U20
03 Apr
Genoa U20
1 : 1
Spezia U20
22 Mar
Spezia U20
0 : 4
Siena U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus U20 26 19 4 3 49:19 61
2 Fiorentina U20 26 18 2 6 59:25 56
3 Torino U20 26 15 8 3 40:19 53
4 Genoa U20 26 13 7 6 41:31 46
5 Empoli U20 26 12 5 9 41:37 41
6 Parma U20 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
7 Spezia U20 26 10 5 11 27:38 35
8 Novara U20 26 9 4 13 35:42 31
9 Siena U20 26 8 6 12 30:35 30
10 Pro Vercelli U20 26 9 3 14 26:40 30
11 Sampdoria U20 26 7 7 12 33:32 28
12 Cagliari U20 26 7 5 14 33:42 26
13 Livorno U20 26 6 7 13 36:53 25
14 Grosseto U20 26 3 4 19 25:60 13
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2012/2013 (Qualification)