Sport Picks
Grosseto vs Nuova Florida - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 2023/2024 Stadio Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto 
Match Events
5'
5'
Moreso O.
12'
12'
Giustarini M.
68'
68'
Limongelli Y.
AI Match Summary
Nuova Florida in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2023/2024 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grosseto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Grosseto have won more games recently than Nuova Florida.
- Grosseto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Grosseto have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nuova Florida, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 68%
Nuova Florida Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grosseto | Nuova Florida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 26, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
Grosseto vs Nuova Florida
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grosseto Compare
Top Goalscorer Giustarini M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marzierli E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Nuova Florida Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreso O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Limongelli Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grosseto 95 / 100
Nuova Florida 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grosseto Nuova Florida
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Grosseto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Grosseto found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Nuova Florida conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Grosseto went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Grosseto VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Grosseto
(Home) 03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3 Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4 Grosseto
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2 Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3 Sambenedettese
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2 Campobasso
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4 Latina
06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 4
Nuova Florida
(Away) 12 May
Latte Dolce
3 : 2 Nuova Florida
05 May
Nuova Florida
0 : 3 Romana
27 Apr
Latte Dolce
2 : 2 Nuova Florida
21 Apr
Nuova Florida
3 : 1 Anzio Calcio 1924
14 Apr
Cassino
2 : 0 Nuova Florida
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Latte Dolce
3 : 2 Nuova Florida
27 Apr
Latte Dolce
2 : 2 Nuova Florida
14 Apr
Cassino
2 : 0 Nuova Florida
28 Mar
San Marzano
1 : 0 Nuova Florida
17 Mar
Cavese
2 : 3 Nuova Florida
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Virtus Bolzano 0
Luparense FC 3
Chions 1
Clodiense 1
Ravenna 0
Campodarsego 1
Montecchio Maggiore 0
Arconatese 1
Alcione Milano 0
Castellanzese 0
Varesina 2
Pro Palazzolo 1
Desenzano Calvina 0
Real Calepina 1
Ponte San Pietro 0
Asti Calcio 1
PDHA 0
Chisola 1
Bra 2
USD Casatese 1
Fanfulla 0
Fezzanese 0
Vado 1
Livorno 2
Ghiviborgo 1
Poggibonsi 2
Aglianese Calcio 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Sangiovannese 1
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 2
Pistoiese 1
San Donnino 0
Corticella 3
Forli FC 1
Imolese 3
Fano 2
Sambenedettese 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Campobasso 1
Grosseto 2
Nuova Florida 3
Tivoli Calcio 1
Ostiamare 0
Trastevere Calcio 2
Latte Dolce 0
Real Monterotondo 1
Cynthialbalonga 2
Citta di Fasano 3
Casarano 4
Fidelis Andria 2
Bitonto 1
San Marzano 2
Paganese 3
Cavese 3
Rotonda 0
Angri 3
Real Casalnuovo 1
Vibonese 1
Lamezia Terme 2
Akragas 2
Canicatti 1
Trapani 2
Sancataldese 1
1/16-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Luparense FC 0
Clodiense 1
Campodarsego 0
Arconatese 0
Varesina 1
Pro Palazzolo 2
Real Calepina 1
Asti Calcio 1
Bra 2
USD Casatese 2
Vado 1
Livorno 3
Poggibonsi 0
Follonica Gavorrano 3
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 1
Corticella 0
Imolese 2
Fano 0
Campobasso 1
Nuova Florida 2
Tivoli Calcio 1
Trastevere Calcio 0
Cynthialbalonga 1
Casarano 0
Fidelis Andria 3
Paganese 0
Cavese 1
Angri -
Lamezia Terme -
Akragas 0
Trapani 3
1/8-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Clodiense 2
Varesina 3
Pro Palazzolo 0
Bra 0
USD Casatese 1
Livorno 0
Follonica Gavorrano 3
Imolese 1
Campobasso 0
Nuova Florida 2
Cynthialbalonga 1
Fidelis Andria 3
Cavese 1
Angri 0
Trapani 3
Quarter-finals
Clodiense 0
Varesina 1
USD Casatese 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Imolese 1
Nuova Florida 0
Fidelis Andria 1
Trapani 2
Semi-finals
Varesina 3
Follonica Gavorrano 4
Imolese 1
Trapani 3
Final
Follonica Gavorrano 1
Trapani 2
