Sport Picks
Grosseto vs Sporting Trestina
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 Stadio Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto 
Match Events
62'
62'
Marzierli E.
90'
90'
Sabelli P.
90'
90'
Giuliani J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Grosseto in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grosseto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grosseto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Grosseto lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Trestina.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Grosseto taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 68%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grosseto | Sporting Trestina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.40 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Sporting Trestina
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Grosseto
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Grosseto
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Sporting Trestina
0:0
Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Sporting Trestina
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grosseto Compare
Top Goalscorer Marzierli E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sabelli P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7
Sporting Trestina Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grosseto 77 / 100
Sporting Trestina 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grosseto Sporting Trestina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Grosseto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Grosseto scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.
Sporting Trestina let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Grosseto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Grosseto VS Sporting Trestina
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Grosseto
(Home) 14 Aug
Grosseto
2 : 3 Guidonia 1937
08 Aug
Grosseto
3 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
05 Aug
Grosseto
2 : 2 Tau
02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1 Grosseto
29 Jul
Grosseto
1 : 2 San Donato Tavarnelle
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14 Aug
Grosseto
2 : 3 Guidonia 1937
08 Aug
Grosseto
3 : 1 Terranuova Traiana
05 Aug
Grosseto
2 : 2 Tau
29 Jul
Grosseto
1 : 2 San Donato Tavarnelle
13 May
Grosseto
2 : 3 Ostiamare
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Sporting Trestina
(Away) 29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
03 May
Siena
4 : 4 Sporting Trestina
26 Apr
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2 Prato
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1 Sporting Trestina
12 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
03 May
Siena
4 : 4 Sporting Trestina
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1 Sporting Trestina
03 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0 Sporting Trestina
22 Mar
Poggibonsi
1 : 2 Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)
