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Grosuplje vs Bistrica

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup
Thu, Nov 27, 2025
2 - 1
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Kantuzer D.
16' Event
Marsetic E.
30'
Vukelic D.

AI Match Summary

Grosuplje in this Slovenian Cup matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grosuplje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Grosuplje
6%
Draws
90%
Bistrica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bistrica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bistrica haven't matched Grosuplje's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bistrica taking it.
  • Cup games in Slovenian Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Grosuplje Clean Sheet 20%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosuplje Bistrica
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Grosuplje
0:4
Nov 27, 2025 Slovenian Cup
Grosuplje vs Bistrica
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs Bistrica
2:0
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Grosuplje vs Bistrica
0:1
Mar 21, 2025 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Grosuplje
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosuplje Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovicevic N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bistrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Marsetic E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosuplje 10 / 100
Bistrica 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosuplje Bistrica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grosuplje's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bistrica conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Grosuplje remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grosuplje VS Bistrica
1.5 Goals Scored 1.33
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.17
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tromejnik Montpreis0
Jadran Dekani3
Malecnik2
Kamnik1
Beltinci1
Radomlje3
Tabor Sezana1
Primorje4
Grosuplje2
Maribor1
Stojnci0
Bistrica18
Sencur1
O. Ljubljana2
Makole Bar Miha0
Celje4
Fama Vipava1
Bravo2
Ljutomer0
Rudar3
Dravinja1
Mura2
Skofja Loka1
Nafta6
Odranci2
Fuzinar4
Race2
NK Krka1
Ziri1
Aluminij6
NK Polana1
Zavrc0
1/8-finals
Jadran Dekani2
Malecnik0
Radomlje3
Primorje2
Grosuplje2
Bistrica1
O. Ljubljana1
Celje0
Bravo2
Rudar0
Mura1
Nafta2
Fuzinar5
Race0
Aluminij7
NK Polana1
Quarter-finals
Jadran Dekani2
Radomlje4
Grosuplje1
O. Ljubljana0
Bravo2
Nafta0
Fuzinar0
Aluminij4
Semi-finals
Radomlje0
Grosuplje1
Bravo0
Aluminij1
Final
Grosuplje0
Aluminij1