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Grosuplje vs Maribor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup 2025/2026
Wed, Oct 29, 2025
2 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Reghba A.
74' Event
Jovicevic N.
1' Event
Kene M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Grosuplje advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Grosuplje
30%
Draws
42%
Maribor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maribor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Maribor haven't matched Grosuplje's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Maribor a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Grosuplje have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Grosuplje, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Grosuplje Clean Sheet 11%
Maribor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosuplje Maribor
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 3 13
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.74 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs Grosuplje
3:0
Oct 29, 2025 Slovenian Cup
Grosuplje vs Maribor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosuplje Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovicevic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Maribor Compare

Top Goalscorer Reghba A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosuplje 22 / 100
Maribor 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosuplje Maribor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maribor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grosuplje scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Maribor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Grosuplje remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grosuplje VS Maribor
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosuplje

(Home)
20 Sept
Grosuplje
2 : 1
Radomlje
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
30 Aug
Grosuplje
4 : 1
Celje
21 Aug
Aluminij
4 : 2
Grosuplje
Page 1 of 6

Maribor

(Away)
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2
Aluminij
13 Sept
Radomlje
0 : 3
Maribor
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
Mura
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tromejnik Montpreis 0
Jadran Dekani 3
Malecnik 2
Kamnik 1
Beltinci 1
Radomlje 3
Tabor Sezana 1
Primorje 4
Grosuplje 2
Maribor 1
Stojnci 0
Bistrica 18
Sencur 1
O. Ljubljana 2
Makole Bar Miha 0
Celje 4
Fama Vipava 1
Bravo 2
Ljutomer 0
Rudar 3
Dravinja 1
Mura 2
Skofja Loka 1
Nafta 6
Odranci 2
Fuzinar 4
Race 2
NK Krka 1
Ziri 1
Aluminij 6
NK Polana 1
Zavrc 0
1/8-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Malecnik 0
Radomlje 3
Primorje 2
Grosuplje 2
Bistrica 1
O. Ljubljana 1
Celje 0
Bravo 2
Rudar 0
Mura 1
Nafta 2
Fuzinar 5
Race 0
Aluminij 7
NK Polana 1
Quarter-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Radomlje 4
Grosuplje 1
O. Ljubljana 0
Bravo 2
Nafta 0
Fuzinar 0
Aluminij 4
Semi-finals
Radomlje 0
Grosuplje 1
Bravo 0
Aluminij 1
Final
Grosuplje 0
Aluminij 1