Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grosuplje vs Maribor

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup
Wed, Oct 29, 2025
2 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Reghba A.
74' Event
Jovicevic N.
1' Event
Kene M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Slovenian Cup game between Grosuplje and Maribor finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grosuplje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Grosuplje
33%
Draws
40%
Maribor
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Maribor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Maribor haven't matched Grosuplje's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Maribor a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in Slovenian Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Grosuplje Clean Sheet 15%
Maribor Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosuplje Maribor
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Slovenian Cup
Grosuplje vs Maribor
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosuplje Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovicevic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Maribor Compare

Top Goalscorer Reghba A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosuplje 27 / 100
Maribor 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosuplje Maribor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grosuplje's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Maribor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Grosuplje remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grosuplje VS Maribor
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tromejnik Montpreis0
Jadran Dekani3
Malecnik2
Kamnik1
Beltinci1
Radomlje3
Tabor Sezana1
Primorje4
Grosuplje2
Maribor1
Stojnci0
Bistrica18
Sencur1
O. Ljubljana2
Makole Bar Miha0
Celje4
Fama Vipava1
Bravo2
Ljutomer0
Rudar3
Dravinja1
Mura2
Skofja Loka1
Nafta6
Odranci2
Fuzinar4
Race2
NK Krka1
Ziri1
Aluminij6
NK Polana1
Zavrc0
1/8-finals
Jadran Dekani2
Malecnik0
Radomlje3
Primorje2
Grosuplje2
Bistrica1
O. Ljubljana1
Celje0
Bravo2
Rudar0
Mura1
Nafta2
Fuzinar5
Race0
Aluminij7
NK Polana1
Quarter-finals
Jadran Dekani2
Radomlje4
Grosuplje1
O. Ljubljana0
Bravo2
Nafta0
Fuzinar0
Aluminij4
Semi-finals
Radomlje0
Grosuplje1
Bravo0
Aluminij1
Final
Grosuplje0
Aluminij1