Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grosuplje vs Mura

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Nogometni park Brinje, Grosuplje
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Roric M.
15'
Ivkic D.
18' Event
Butic S.

AI Match Summary

Mura in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Grosuplje
20%
Draws
30%
Mura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grosuplje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grosuplje lately — more wins on the board than Mura.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Grosuplje taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Grosuplje Clean Sheet 68%
Mura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosuplje Mura
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.59 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Prva liga
Grosuplje vs Mura
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosuplje Compare

Top Goalscorer Krolo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mura Compare

Top Goalscorer Butic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kasalo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosuplje 95 / 100
Mura 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosuplje Mura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosuplje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mura has conceded goals in 84% of their last 25 outings.

Grosuplje scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Grosuplje has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grosuplje VS Mura
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosuplje

(Home)
21 Aug
Aluminij
4 : 2
Grosuplje
16 Aug
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Mura
09 Aug
Bravo
1 : 1
Grosuplje
05 Aug
Grosuplje
7 : 0
Rudar Prijedor
02 Aug
Grosuplje
1 : 1
Koper
Page 1 of 6

Mura

(Away)
29 Aug
Bravo
2 : 0
Mura
22 Aug
Mura
0 : 1
Koper
16 Aug
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Mura
10 Aug
Mura
1 : 3
Radomlje
01 Aug
Nafta
5 : 2
Mura
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 6 3 3 0 10:3 12
2 Koper 7 3 3 1 7:5 12
3 Bravo 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
4 Celje 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
5 O. Ljubljana 7 2 2 3 3:5 8
6 Aluminij 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
7 Nafta 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
8 Mura 7 2 1 4 8:14 7
9 Grosuplje 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
10 Radomlje 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)