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Grosuplje vs Nafta Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Nogometni park Brinje, Grosuplje
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Poredos L.
42'
Pihler A.
48' Event
Omrani S.
Assist: Zorica J.

AI Match Summary

Nafta in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nafta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Grosuplje
15%
Draws
42%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grosuplje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nafta lately — more wins on the board than Grosuplje.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Grosuplje Clean Sheet 10%
Nafta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosuplje Nafta
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.71 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Prva liga
Grosuplje vs Nafta
1:2
May 17, 2026 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs Nafta
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 2. SNL
Nafta vs Grosuplje
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 2. SNL
Nafta vs Grosuplje
3:4
Oct 11, 2023 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs Nafta
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosuplje Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Omrani S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zorica J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosuplje 34 / 100
Nafta 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosuplje Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nafta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Grosuplje's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Nafta has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Nafta has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grosuplje VS Nafta
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosuplje

(Home)
20 Sept
Grosuplje
2 : 1
Radomlje
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
30 Aug
Grosuplje
4 : 1
Celje
21 Aug
Aluminij
4 : 2
Grosuplje
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Nafta

(Away)
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)