Sport Picks

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Grosuplje vs ND Gorica

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Jovicevic N.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Grosuplje and ND Gorica finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grosuplje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Grosuplje
15%
Draws
59%
ND Gorica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ND Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grosuplje come out ahead of ND Gorica on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on ND Gorica taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Grosuplje Clean Sheet 15%
ND Gorica Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosuplje ND Gorica
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 4 10
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.85 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs ND Gorica
1:0
Sep 26, 2025 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Grosuplje
2:2
May 25, 2025 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Grosuplje
1:2
Nov 15, 2024 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs ND Gorica
0:0
Feb 18, 2024 Club Friendly
ND Gorica vs Grosuplje
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosuplje Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovicevic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

ND Gorica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosuplje 15 / 100
ND Gorica 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosuplje ND Gorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ND Gorica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ND Gorica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Grosuplje scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Grosuplje remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Grosuplje VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grosuplje

(Home)
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
30 Aug
Grosuplje
4 : 1
Celje
21 Aug
Aluminij
4 : 2
Grosuplje
16 Aug
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Mura
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ND Gorica

(Away)
23 May
Krsko Posavje
2 : 0
ND Gorica
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
11 May
ND Gorica
1 : 1
Dravinja
06 May
NK Krka
1 : 4
ND Gorica
02 May
ND Gorica
2 : 3
Rudar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)