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Grotta vs KH Hlidarendi

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2023 Vivaldivöllurinn
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Quintero L.
26'
Eiriksson O.
28' Event
Eyjolfsson G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Icelandic Cup 2023 game between Grotta and KH Hlidarendi finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grotta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Grotta
33%
Draws
27%
KH Hlidarendi
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Grotta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grotta come out ahead of KH Hlidarendi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Grotta a 40% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Icelandic Cup 2023 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Grotta have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Grotta Clean Sheet 68%
KH Hlidarendi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grotta KH Hlidarendi
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 18 9
Draws 1 0
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2023 Icelandic Cup
Grotta vs KH Hlidarendi
4:3
Apr 8, 2022 Icelandic Cup
Grotta vs KH Hlidarendi
8:0
May 3, 2013 Icelandic Cup
Grotta vs KH Hlidarendi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grotta Compare

Top Goalscorer Petursson P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johannessen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

KH Hlidarendi Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintero L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Valencia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grotta 50 / 100
KH Hlidarendi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grotta KH Hlidarendi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grotta scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: KH Hlidarendi conceded in 84% of 25 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Grotta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grotta VS KH Hlidarendi
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kopavogur-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KFG Gardabaer7
Hafnir0
IR Reykjavik0
IH Hafnarfjordur1
KA Akureyri-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
IBU7
Hamar0
KA Asvellir5
Kormakur/Hvot4
Valur-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
RB Keflavik5
Alafoss3
Hviti3
GG Grindavik2
Afturelding-
TBD-
TBD-
Grindavik-
Dalvik/Reynir-
TBD-
Hamrarnir2
Tindastoll7
Fram-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ymir1
KFS2
Throttur18
Stokkseyri0
KB Breidholt2
Kria4
TBD-
Fjolnir-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Breidablik-
Berserkir / Midas1
Smari2
Reynir1
Aegir2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hafnarfjordur-
SR Reykjavik1
Augnablik5
Njardvik4
Hordur Isafjordur0
KFA-
TBD-
TBD-
Spyrnir-
Ellidi0
Arborg1
Kari5
Lettir0
Thor Akureyri-
TBD-
TBD-
Fjallabyggd-
Leiknir Reykjavik-
TBD-
Arbaer2
Olafsvik1
Reynir Hellissandur1
KFK Kopavogur7
Selfoss7
Alftanes1
Vikingur Reykjavik-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Volsungur-
TBD-
Magni4
Samherjar0
Grotta-
TBD-
TBD-
Vestri-
Skallagrimur2
KFR3
Vaengirs4
KH Hlidarendi5
Sindri-
TBD-
TBD-
Hottur / Huginn-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fylkir-
KR Reykjavik-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ulfarnir1
Throttur Vogar3
KV Reykjavik17
Afrika Reykjavik0
Stjarnan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
IBV Vestmannaeyjar-
Keflavik-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Akranes-
TBD-
Haukar2
Vidir3
1/32-finals
Kopavogur-
TBD-
KFG Gardabaer3
IH Hafnarfjordur2
KA Akureyri-
TBD-
IBU4
KA Asvellir3
Valur-
TBD-
RB Keflavik3
Hviti2
Afturelding0
Grindavik1
Dalvik/Reynir2
Tindastoll1
Fram-
TBD-
KFS0
Throttur5
Kria0
Fjolnir10
TBD-
Breidablik-
Smari1
Aegir6
TBD-
Hafnarfjordur-
Augnablik2
Njardvik3
KFA7
Spyrnir1
Arborg1
Kari3
Thor Akureyri6
Fjallabyggd0
Leiknir Reykjavik2
Arbaer0
KFK Kopavogur0
Selfoss8
Vikingur Reykjavik-
TBD-
Volsungur0
Magni1
Grotta1
Vestri0
KFR0
KH Hlidarendi1
Sindri4
Hottur / Huginn3
TBD-
Fylkir-
KR Reykjavik-
TBD-
Throttur Vogar2
KV Reykjavik0
Stjarnan-
TBD-
TBD-
IBV Vestmannaeyjar-
Keflavik-
TBD-
Akranes3
Vidir0
1/16-finals
Kopavogur5
KFG Gardabaer0
KA Akureyri5
IBU0
Valur4
RB Keflavik1
Grindavik2
Dalvik/Reynir1
Fram2
Throttur3
Fjolnir0
Breidablik2
Aegir1
Hafnarfjordur3
Njardvik4
KFA1
Kari1
Thor Akureyri2
Leiknir Reykjavik1
Selfoss0
Vikingur Reykjavik6
Magni2
Grotta4
KH Hlidarendi3
Sindri2
Fylkir4
KR Reykjavik3
Throttur Vogar0
Stjarnan1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar0
Keflavik1
Akranes0
1/8-finals
Kopavogur1
KA Akureyri3
Valur1
Grindavik3
Throttur0
Breidablik3
Hafnarfjordur2
Njardvik1
Thor Akureyri3
Leiknir Reykjavik1
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Grotta1
Fylkir3
KR Reykjavik4
Stjarnan4
Keflavik0
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri2
Grindavik1
Breidablik3
Hafnarfjordur1
Thor Akureyri1
Vikingur Reykjavik2
KR Reykjavik2
Stjarnan1
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri4
Breidablik3
Vikingur Reykjavik4
KR Reykjavik1
Final
KA Akureyri1
Vikingur Reykjavik3