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Groupe Bazano vs Simba

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Groupe Bazano and Simba finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Groupe Bazano
22%
Draws
18%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Groupe Bazano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Simba come out ahead of Groupe Bazano on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Groupe Bazano taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Groupe Bazano Clean Sheet 20%
Simba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groupe Bazano Simba
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.33 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Groupe Bazano vs Simba
1:1
Dec 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Groupe Bazano
3:0
Mar 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Groupe Bazano
1:1
Oct 15, 2024 Ligue 1
Groupe Bazano vs Simba
3:0
May 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Simba vs Groupe Bazano
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groupe Bazano 58 / 100
Simba 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groupe Bazano Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Groupe Bazano scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Simba conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Groupe Bazano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Groupe Bazano VS Simba
1.33 Goals Scored 0.88
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Groupe Bazano

(Home)
12 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
2 : 0
Groupe Bazano
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1
New Soger
27 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Groupe Bazano
15 Mar
Tanganyika
2 : 1
Groupe Bazano
10 Mar
Blessing
0 : 0
Groupe Bazano
Page 1 of 6

Simba

(Away)
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
14 Jun
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
Simba
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
06 Jun
Simba
0 : 3
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)