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Groupe Bazano vs Simba

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Groupe Bazano and Simba finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Groupe Bazano
35%
Draws
32%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Groupe Bazano come out ahead of Simba on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Groupe Bazano taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Groupe Bazano Clean Sheet 20%
Simba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groupe Bazano Simba
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.87 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Groupe Bazano vs Simba
1:1
Dec 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Groupe Bazano
3:0
Mar 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Groupe Bazano
1:1
Oct 15, 2024 Ligue 1
Groupe Bazano vs Simba
3:0
May 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Simba vs Groupe Bazano
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groupe Bazano 42 / 100
Simba 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groupe Bazano Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Groupe Bazano scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Simba conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Groupe Bazano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Groupe Bazano VS Simba
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Groupe Bazano

(Home)
12 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
2 : 0
Groupe Bazano
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1
New Soger
27 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1
Groupe Bazano
15 Mar
Tanganyika
2 : 1
Groupe Bazano
10 Mar
Blessing
0 : 0
Groupe Bazano
Page 1 of 6

Simba

(Away)
22 Aug
Simba
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Red Arrows
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)