Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group B 2017/2018

Ciliverghe Mazzano

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Grumellese play Ciliverghe Mazzano in the Serie D - Group B 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Grumellese averaged 1 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Ciliverghe Mazzano averaged 1.09 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Grumellese won 0, Ciliverghe Mazzano won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 22, 2018 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Grumellese and 0.93 for Ciliverghe Mazzano. This points to a Grumellese double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Grumellese

22%

Draws

38%

Ciliverghe Mazzano

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Grumellese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Grumellese picked up more points recently compared to Ciliverghe Mazzano.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Grumellese Clean Sheet 24%

Ciliverghe Mazzano Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Grumellese	Ciliverghe Mazzano
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	8	6
Draws	7	7
Losses	15	19
Goals Scored	1	1.09
Goals Conceded	1.47	2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Serie D - Group B

Grumellese vs Ciliverghe Mazzano

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Dec 2, 2017 Serie D - Group B

Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Grumellese

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Apr 30, 2017 Serie D - Group B

Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Grumellese

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

Dec 11, 2016 Serie D - Group B

Grumellese vs Ciliverghe Mazzano

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 0 - 4

0:1

Feb 14, 2016 Serie D - Group B

Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Grumellese

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grumellese 41 / 100

Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Grumellese Ciliverghe Mazzano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Grumellese or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Grumellese attacking → ← attacking Ciliverghe Mazzano

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grumellese scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Ciliverghe Mazzano let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Grumellese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ciliverghe Mazzano lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 25

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pro Patria	36	23	10	3	58:22	79
2	Rezzato	36	24	6	6	84:35	78
3	Ponte San Pietro	36	21	7	8	67:44	70
4	Pergolettese	36	19	10	7	57:37	67
5	Darfo Boario	36	18	8	10	51:30	62
6	Ciserano-Bergamo	36	18	4	14	57:46	58
7	Lecco	36	16	10	10	46:35	58
8	Crema	36	13	9	14	43:40	48
9	Bustese Milano City	36	12	11	13	44:43	47
10	Caravaggio	36	12	11	13	47:52	47
11	Ciliverghe Mazzano	36	12	9	15	47:46	45
12	Levico Terme	36	11	11	14	45:56	44
13	Trento	36	12	7	17	42:64	43
14	Scanzorosciate	36	12	7	17	41:51	43
15	Lumezzane	36	11	9	16	37:51	42
16	Ciserano	36	8	12	16	42:58	36
17	Grumellese	36	9	7	20	34:55	34
18	USD Dro	36	6	13	17	33:62	31
19	Calcio Romanese	36	2	5	29	30:78	11