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Grumellese vs Ciliverghe Mazzano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Grumellese
35%
Draws
13%
Ciliverghe Mazzano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grumellese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Grumellese have won more games recently than Ciliverghe Mazzano.
  • Win probability leans Grumellese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ciliverghe Mazzano have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Grumellese Clean Sheet 20%
Ciliverghe Mazzano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grumellese Ciliverghe Mazzano
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
2:2
Dec 2, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Grumellese
2:1
Apr 30, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Grumellese
3:1
Dec 11, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
0:1
Feb 14, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Grumellese
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grumellese 85 / 100
Ciliverghe Mazzano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grumellese Ciliverghe Mazzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grumellese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciliverghe Mazzano let in goals in 91% of their last 34 matches.

Attacking prowess: Grumellese scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Grumellese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ciliverghe Mazzano
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grumellese

(Home)
06 May
Grumellese
2 : 1
Lecco
29 Apr
Darfo Boario
0 : 1
Grumellese
22 Apr
Grumellese
2 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
15 Apr
Levico Terme
0 : 0
Grumellese
08 Apr
Grumellese
1 : 2
Trento
Page 1 of 6

Ciliverghe Mazzano

(Away)
04 May
Pro Sesto
2 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
27 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
17 Apr
Folgore Caratese
5 : 0
Ciliverghe Mazzano
13 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
0 : 0
Sant'Angelo
06 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0
Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pro Patria 36 23 10 3 58:22 79
2 Rezzato 36 24 6 6 84:35 78
3 Ponte San Pietro 36 21 7 8 67:44 70
4 Pergolettese 36 19 10 7 57:37 67
5 Darfo Boario 36 18 8 10 51:30 62
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 36 18 4 14 57:46 58
7 Lecco 36 16 10 10 46:35 58
8 Crema 36 13 9 14 43:40 48
9 Bustese Milano City 36 12 11 13 44:43 47
10 Caravaggio 36 12 11 13 47:52 47
11 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 12 9 15 47:46 45
12 Levico Terme 36 11 11 14 45:56 44
13 Trento 36 12 7 17 42:64 43
14 Scanzorosciate 36 12 7 17 41:51 43
15 Lumezzane 36 11 9 16 37:51 42
16 Ciserano 36 8 12 16 42:58 36
17 Grumellese 36 9 7 20 34:55 34
18 USD Dro 36 6 13 17 33:62 31
19 Calcio Romanese 36 2 5 29 30:78 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 (Play Offs)