Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grumellese vs MapelloBonate

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grumellese in this Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grumellese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Grumellese
30%
Draws
23%
MapelloBonate
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grumellese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grumellese lately — more wins on the board than MapelloBonate.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Grumellese Clean Sheet 20%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grumellese MapelloBonate
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs MapelloBonate
2:0
Sep 27, 2015 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Grumellese
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grumellese 31 / 100
MapelloBonate 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grumellese MapelloBonate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grumellese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MapelloBonate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Grumellese scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Grumellese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grumellese VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Grumellese

(Home)
06 May
Grumellese
2 : 1
Lecco
29 Apr
Darfo Boario
0 : 1
Grumellese
22 Apr
Grumellese
2 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
15 Apr
Levico Terme
0 : 0
Grumellese
08 Apr
Grumellese
1 : 2
Trento
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MapelloBonate

(Away)
08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0
Varesina
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
MapelloBonate
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2
Monza
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2
MapelloBonate
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piacenza 38 30 6 2 85:27 96
2 Lecco 38 23 11 4 83:41 80
3 Seregno Calcio 38 18 10 10 63:47 64
4 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 18 7 13 48:49 61
5 Ponte San Pietro 38 17 10 11 63:48 61
6 Olginatese 38 15 11 12 57:50 56
7 Inveruno 38 15 8 15 65:57 53
8 Ciserano 38 13 14 11 48:55 53
9 Folgore Caratese 38 11 17 10 52:48 50
10 Monza 38 12 13 13 52:49 49
11 Grumellese 38 12 12 14 49:53 48
12 Pro Sesto 38 13 8 17 50:51 47
13 Varesina 38 11 14 13 42:49 47
14 Pergolettese 38 11 13 14 38:42 46
15 Bustese Milano City 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
16 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 12 9 17 44:61 45
17 Caravaggio 38 7 13 18 35:56 34
18 Fiorenzuola 38 5 18 15 28:51 33
19 MapelloBonate 38 6 13 19 36:59 31
20 Sondrio 38 6 9 23 39:73 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)