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GS Loures vs Arronches Benfica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GS Loures in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored GS Loures.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
GS Loures
15%
Draws
39%
Arronches Benfica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GS Loures

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Arronches Benfica have won more games recently than GS Loures.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
GS Loures Clean Sheet 68%
Arronches Benfica Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GS Loures Arronches Benfica
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Arronches Benfica vs GS Loures
1:2
Dec 4, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GS Loures vs Arronches Benfica
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GS Loures 41 / 100
Arronches Benfica 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GS Loures Arronches Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GS Loures Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GS Loures's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

GS Loures has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Arronches Benfica has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arronches Benfica
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

GS Loures

(Home)
16 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
GS Loures
08 Apr
GS Loures
1 : 3
Sertanense
02 Apr
Alcains
2 : 5
GS Loures
19 Mar
Arronches Benfica
1 : 2
GS Loures
12 Mar
GS Loures
2 : 2
Pero Pinheiro
Page 1 of 6

Arronches Benfica

(Away)
13 Apr
Arronches Benfica
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
06 Apr
Fatima
1 : 0
Arronches Benfica
29 Mar
Arronches Benfica
2 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
16 Mar
Alverca B
2 : 0
Arronches Benfica
09 Mar
Arronches Benfica
1 : 0
Sertanense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)