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GS Loures vs Arronches Benfica

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GS Loures in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored GS Loures.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
GS Loures
39%
Draws
31%
Arronches Benfica
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Arronches Benfica have won more games recently than GS Loures.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
GS Loures Clean Sheet 68%
Arronches Benfica Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GS Loures Arronches Benfica
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Arronches Benfica vs GS Loures
1:2
Dec 4, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GS Loures vs Arronches Benfica
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GS Loures 41 / 100
Arronches Benfica 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GS Loures Arronches Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GS Loures's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

GS Loures has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Arronches Benfica has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arronches Benfica
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11º Dezembro25155537:1950
2Pero Pinheiro25157434:2449
3Santarem25139340:1448
4Marinhense25126731:2442
5SB Castelo Branco251010533:2740
6Mortagua FC2599741:3836
7Sertanense2599730:2536
8Sintrense25109734:2536
9GD Coruchense2589930:2830
10Uniao Da Serra25931331:4030
11GS Loures25671226:4125
12Arronches Benfica25541615:3919
13Alcains25421923:4714
14Rio Maior SC010120:00