Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guabira vs Aurora

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Gilberto Parada, Montero
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Anez C.
Assist: Rafinha
8' Event
Tellez M.
Assist: Garzon S.
35'
Vaca H.

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional game between Guabira and Aurora finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guabira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Guabira
15%
Draws
64%
Aurora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Aurora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aurora are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Guabira Clean Sheet 11%
Aurora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guabira Aurora
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.46 1.55
Goals Conceded 2 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Division Profesional
Guabira vs Aurora
3:1
May 2, 2026 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Guabira
4:2
Oct 28, 2025 Copa Pacena
Aurora vs Guabira
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 Copa Pacena
Guabira vs Aurora
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Guabira
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guabira Compare

Top Goalscorer Anez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tellez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Aurora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guabira 10 / 100
Aurora 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guabira Aurora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Guabira found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Aurora conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Guabira has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guabira VS Aurora
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guabira

(Home)
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
13 Sept
Always Ready
6 : 0
Guabira
09 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0
Guabira
05 Sept
Guabira
1 : 1
Real Potosi
31 Aug
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
5 : 1
Guabira
Page 1 of 6

Aurora

(Away)
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
11 Sept
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 2
Aurora
08 Sept
Aurora
1 : 0
Real Potosi
05 Sept
Aurora
3 : 0
GV San Jose
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 20 13 6 1 47:13 45
2 Bolivar 20 14 3 3 54:22 45
3 The Strongest 20 12 6 2 39:22 42
4 Real Potosi 20 8 8 4 27:14 32
5 Oriente Petrolero 20 9 3 8 36:27 30
6 Aurora 20 7 9 4 31:27 30
7 Guabira 20 8 5 7 32:39 29
8 Blooming 20 6 9 5 30:22 27
9 Nacional Potosi 20 8 3 9 30:28 27
10 Independiente 20 7 4 9 27:35 25
11 Real Oruro 20 6 3 11 32:50 21
12 Academia del Balompie 20 6 2 12 31:45 20
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 20 6 2 12 21:40 20
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 20 5 3 12 26:39 18
15 Tomayapo 20 4 4 12 15:39 16
16 GV San Jose 20 2 8 10 21:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)