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Guabira vs Club Universitario de Vinto

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guabira play Club Universitario de Vinto in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guabira averaged 1.61 goals scored and 2.32 conceded. Club Universitario de Vinto averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Guabira won 3, Club Universitario de Vinto won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 25, 2026 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Guabira and 2.06 for Club Universitario de Vinto. This points to a Guabira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Guabira
21%
Draws
32%
Club Universitario de Vinto
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Guabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Guabira picked up more points recently compared to Club Universitario de Vinto.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Guabira Clean Sheet 10%
Club Universitario de Vinto Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guabira Club Universitario de Vinto
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.61 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.32 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Club Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira
5:2
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Guabira vs Club Universitario de Vinto
2:1
Aug 3, 2025 Division Profesional
Guabira vs Club Universitario de Vinto
3:0
Jul 26, 2025 Copa Pacena
Club Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira
2:2
Apr 30, 2025 Copa Pacena
Guabira vs Club Universitario de Vinto
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guabira Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maciel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Club Universitario de Vinto Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guabira 44 / 100
Club Universitario de Vinto 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guabira Club Universitario de Vinto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guabira or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guabira attacking → ← attacking Club Universitario de Vinto

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guabira scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Club Universitario de Vinto let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Guabira went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Club Universitario de Vinto lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 28
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63