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Stadium Background

Guabira vs Mariscal Sucre

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2015/2016 Estadio Gilberto Parada, Montero
Guabira Logo

Guabira

2 - 0
FT
Mariscal Sucre Logo

Mariscal Sucre

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guabira in this Nacional B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guabira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Guabira
35%
Draws
21%
Mariscal Sucre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Mariscal Sucre at 1.87 per game, Guabira at 1.68.
  • Guabira are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Guabira Clean Sheet 10%
Mariscal Sucre Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guabira Mariscal Sucre
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.68 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Mariscal Sucre vs Guabira
0:0
Nov 12, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Guabira vs Mariscal Sucre
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guabira 83 / 100
Mariscal Sucre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guabira Mariscal Sucre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guabira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mariscal Sucre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Guabira went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Guabira's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Guabira VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guabira

(Home)
15 Aug
Guabira
3 : 1
The Strongest
07 Aug
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Guabira
05 Aug
Guabira
3 : 0
Tomayapo
31 Jul
Club Universitario de Vinto
1 : 1
Guabira
25 Jul
Guabira
4 : 1
Real Oruro
Page 1 of 6

Mariscal Sucre

(Away)
09 Oct
Sur-Car
4 : 0
Mariscal Sucre
06 Oct
Mariscal Sucre
2 : 2
Sur-Car
25 Sept
24 de Septiembre
2 : 2
Mariscal Sucre
17 Sept
Mariscal Sucre
3 : 1
Wilstermann Cooperativas
03 Sept
Mariscal Sucre
1 : 1
24 de Septiembre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Pari 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
2 Guabira 8 5 1 2 19:7 16
3 Universitario Beni 8 5 1 2 20:15 16
4 Mariscal Sucre 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
5 San Borja 8 0 0 8 8:33 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 6 4 1 1 15:9 13
2 Em Huanuni 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
3 Arauco Prado 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
4 Maestranza 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Tarija 8 5 1 2 7:8 16
2 Garcia Agreda 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
3 Quebracho Villa Montes 8 4 1 3 15:14 13
4 Fancesa 8 3 1 4 15:13 10
5 Wilstermann Cooperativas 8 2 0 6 11:16 6
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)